State
Wisconsin
2,941,540 people work in Wisconsin, at mean pay of $64,270 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 1.4 billion hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 39%
- 7%
- 55%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 18% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 21%. Today's estimate: 24%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 48% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customer Service Representatives | 50,840 | 67% | 70 million | $47K |
| Office Clerks, General | 51,440 | 58% | 62 million | $45K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 25,580 | 83% | 44 million | $41K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 25,960 | 76% | 41 million | $50K |
| Cashiers | 65,380 | 30% | 41 million | $31K |
| Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products | 37,700 | 44% | 35 million | $66K |
| Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 22,720 | 69% | 32 million | $64K |
| Registered Nurses | 68,060 | 21% | 30 million | $96K |
| Retail Salespersons | 67,640 | 20% | 28 million | $34K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 28,100 | 39% | 23 million | $48K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers | 22,950 | 47% | 22 million | $71K |
| Fast Food and Counter Workers | 67,750 | 15% | 21 million | $29K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 708 smaller jobs (1,517,540 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 98% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.Bartenders22 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform personnel activities, such as supervising and training employees.Fast Food and Counter Workers20 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses19 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons16 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General13 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives12 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Contact customers to respond to inquiries or to notify them of claim investigation results or any planned adjustments.Customer Service Representatives11 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives11 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive10 million hours89% of the task within reach
- Check to ensure that appropriate changes were made to resolve customers' problems.Customer Service Representatives10 million hours100% of the task within reach
Metro and nonmetro areas in Wisconsin
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI820,780 people24% now, 38% by 2028
- Madison, WI408,070 people24% now, 42% by 2028
- South Central Wisconsin nonmetropolitan area210,950 people22% now, 32% by 2028
- Northeastern Wisconsin nonmetropolitan area196,170 people24% now, 35% by 2028
- Green Bay, WI174,550 people24% now, 36% by 2028
- Western Wisconsin nonmetropolitan area127,550 people22% now, 32% by 2028
- Appleton, WI124,230 people24% now, 36% by 2028
- Oshkosh-Neenah, WI93,750 people24% now, 38% by 2028
- Eau Claire, WI86,060 people24% now, 36% by 2028
- La Crosse-Onalaska, WI-MN84,380 people24% now, 36% by 2028
- Racine-Mount Pleasant, WI76,280 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Kenosha, WI75,450 people22% now, 33% by 2028
- Janesville-Beloit, WI69,870 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Wausau, WI69,530 people24% now, 35% by 2028
- Sheboygan, WI60,630 people22% now, 34% by 2028
- Northwestern Wisconsin nonmetropolitan area48,350 people23% now, 33% by 2028
- Fond du Lac, WI43,900 people24% now, 35% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works