State
Utah
1,735,590 people work in Utah, at mean pay of $66,290 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 864 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 41%
- 8%
- 51%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 19% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 22%. Today's estimate: 25%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 48% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customer Service Representatives | 44,490 | 67% | 62 million | $43K |
| Office Clerks, General | 36,470 | 58% | 44 million | $44K |
| Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 16,210 | 69% | 23 million | $63K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 12,020 | 83% | 21 million | $37K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 12,650 | 76% | 20 million | $49K |
| Retail Salespersons | 47,570 | 20% | 20 million | $34K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers | 18,890 | 47% | 18 million | $67K |
| Fast Food and Counter Workers | 52,340 | 15% | 17 million | $29K |
| General and Operations Managers | 42,580 | 19% | 16 million | $98K |
| Project Management Specialists | 16,450 | 45% | 15 million | $97K |
| Cashiers | 22,940 | 30% | 14 million | $32K |
| Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks | 15,750 | 43% | 14 million | $39K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 658 smaller jobs (872,190 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 97% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Perform personnel activities, such as supervising and training employees.Fast Food and Counter Workers16 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons12 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives10 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Contact customers to respond to inquiries or to notify them of claim investigation results or any planned adjustments.Customer Service Representatives9.7 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives9.3 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General9.1 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Check to ensure that appropriate changes were made to resolve customers' problems.Customer Service Representatives9 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Modify existing software to correct errors, adapt it to new hardware, or upgrade interfaces and improve performance.Software Developers8.9 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Analyze user needs and software requirements to determine feasibility of design within time and cost constraints.Software Developers8.8 million hours99% of the task within reach
- Collect and analyze data on customer demographics, preferences, needs, and buying habits to identify potential markets and factors affecting product demand.Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists8.3 million hours90% of the task within reach
Metro and nonmetro areas in Utah
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Salt Lake City-Murray, UT826,210 people26% now, 43% by 2028
- Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT304,660 people25% now, 40% by 2028
- Ogden, UT271,370 people24% now, 39% by 2028
- High Desert Utah nonmetropolitan area111,260 people22% now, 33% by 2028
- St. George, UT90,500 people24% now, 34% by 2028
- Wasatch Front Fringe Utah nonmetropolitan area67,750 people22% now, 34% by 2028
- Logan, UT-ID66,800 people24% now, 37% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works