Metro area, Utah
Salt Lake City-Murray, UT
826,210 people work in this area, at mean pay of $71,660 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 394 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 42%
- 17%
- 41%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 19% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 21%. Today's estimate: 24%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 49% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customer Service Representatives | 26,620 | 64% | 36 million | $45K |
| Office Clerks, General | 16,260 | 54% | 18 million | $45K |
| Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks | 10,550 | 53% | 12 million | $39K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 6,310 | 78% | 10 million | $51K |
| General and Operations Managers | 20,870 | 23% | 9.9 million | $104K |
| Retail Salespersons | 20,330 | 19% | 8.2 million | $34K |
| Registered Nurses | 14,070 | 28% | 8.1 million | $86K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers | 9,820 | 35% | 7.1 million | $72K |
| Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 7,900 | 43% | 7.1 million | $63K |
| Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products | 8,370 | 36% | 6.2 million | $63K |
| Project Management Specialists | 8,990 | 33% | 6.2 million | $98K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 6,670 | 43% | 5.9 million | $48K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 556 smaller jobs (402,190 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 95% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives6 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives5.6 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Modify existing software to correct errors, adapt it to new hardware, or upgrade interfaces and improve performance.Software Developers5.3 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Collect and analyze data on customer demographics, preferences, needs, and buying habits to identify potential markets and factors affecting product demand.Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists4.7 million hours90% of the task within reach
- Check to ensure that appropriate changes were made to resolve customers' problems.Customer Service Representatives4.3 million hours80% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General4.1 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Keep records of customer interactions or transactions, recording details of inquiries, complaints, or comments, as well as actions taken.Customer Service Representatives4 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Analyze user needs and software requirements to determine feasibility of design within time and cost constraints.Software Developers3.7 million hours70% of the task within reach
- Develop or direct software system testing or validation procedures, programming, or documentation.Software Developers3.4 million hours79% of the task within reach
- Develop sales presentations or proposals to explain service specifications.Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel3.4 million hours100% of the task within reach
Other areas in Utah
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT304,660 people23% now, 38% by 2028
- Ogden, UT271,370 people22% now, 37% by 2028
- High Desert Utah nonmetropolitan area111,260 people21% now, 31% by 2028
- St. George, UT90,500 people22% now, 32% by 2028
- Wasatch Front Fringe Utah nonmetropolitan area67,750 people20% now, 32% by 2028
- Logan, UT-ID66,800 people23% now, 35% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works