Metro area, Illinois
Rockford, IL
137,650 people work in this area, at mean pay of $61,020 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 59 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 33%
- 17%
- 50%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 19%. Today's estimate: 21%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 55% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customer Service Representatives | 2,070 | 64% | 2.8 million | $43K |
| Registered Nurses | 4,620 | 28% | 2.7 million | $81K |
| Office Clerks, General | 2,000 | 54% | 2.3 million | $43K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 1,020 | 78% | 1.6 million | $47K |
| General and Operations Managers | 3,340 | 23% | 1.6 million | $98K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 930 | 81% | 1.6 million | $46K |
| Cashiers | 3,620 | 19% | 1.4 million | $32K |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 3,110 | 19% | 1.2 million | $36K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 1,000 | 59% | 1.2 million | $37K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 1,360 | 43% | 1.2 million | $46K |
| Retail Salespersons | 2,970 | 19% | 1.2 million | $34K |
| Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand | 5,940 | 9% | 1.1 million | $44K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 328 smaller jobs (59,710 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 96% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Record numbers of units handled or moved, using daily production sheets or work tickets.Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand827,304 hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses774,069 hours60% of the task within reach
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers532,267 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain accurate, detailed reports and records.Registered Nurses529,873 hours100% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General500,947 hours100% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives468,492 hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.Bartenders448,291 hours50% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives432,110 hours100% of the task within reach
- Direct and coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with the production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products.General and Operations Managers427,084 hours40% of the task within reach
- Develop sales presentations or proposals to explain service specifications.Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel418,611 hours100% of the task within reach
Other areas in Illinois
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN4,513,280 people22% now, 37% by 2028
- West Central Illinois nonmetropolitan area169,470 people21% now, 31% by 2028
- Peoria, IL166,020 people22% now, 36% by 2028
- East Central Illinois nonmetropolitan area143,050 people21% now, 31% by 2028
- South Illinois nonmetropolitan area141,200 people22% now, 32% by 2028
- Northwest Illinois nonmetropolitan area126,860 people21% now, 30% by 2028
- Champaign-Urbana, IL105,500 people22% now, 35% by 2028
- Springfield, IL100,810 people24% now, 40% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works