Metro area, Illinois
Springfield, IL
100,810 people work in this area, at mean pay of $69,800 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 47 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 41%
- 19%
- 40%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 19% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 21%. Today's estimate: 24%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 52% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office Clerks, General | 2,310 | 54% | 2.6 million | $48K |
| Registered Nurses | 4,110 | 28% | 2.4 million | $84K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 1,330 | 81% | 2.2 million | $43K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 1,510 | 64% | 2 million | $40K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 860 | 78% | 1.4 million | $51K |
| General and Operations Managers | 2,610 | 23% | 1.2 million | $96K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 1,290 | 43% | 1.1 million | $48K |
| Retail Salespersons | 2,570 | 19% | 1 million | $33K |
| Cashiers | 2,440 | 19% | 938,912 | $32K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 670 | 59% | 819,437 | $37K |
| Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants | 830 | 47% | 818,316 | $74K |
| Human Resources Specialists | 950 | 39% | 766,691 | $79K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 310 smaller jobs (45,130 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 93% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses688,619 hours60% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General578,594 hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform bookkeeping duties, such as credits or collections, preparing and sending financial statements or bills, and keeping financial records.Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants532,753 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain accurate, detailed reports and records.Registered Nurses471,381 hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare, examine, or analyze accounting records, financial statements, or other financial reports to assess accuracy, completeness, and conformance to reporting and procedural standards.Accountants and Auditors428,248 hours98% of the task within reach
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers358,766 hours100% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives341,750 hours100% of the task within reach
- Direct and coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with the production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products.General and Operations Managers333,740 hours40% of the task within reach
- Maintain and update filing, inventory, mailing, and database systems, either manually or using a computer.Office Clerks, General322,343 hours80% of the task within reach
- Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.Bartenders319,683 hours50% of the task within reach
Other areas in Illinois
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN4,513,280 people22% now, 37% by 2028
- West Central Illinois nonmetropolitan area169,470 people21% now, 31% by 2028
- Peoria, IL166,020 people22% now, 36% by 2028
- East Central Illinois nonmetropolitan area143,050 people21% now, 31% by 2028
- South Illinois nonmetropolitan area141,200 people22% now, 32% by 2028
- Rockford, IL137,650 people21% now, 32% by 2028
- Northwest Illinois nonmetropolitan area126,860 people21% now, 30% by 2028
- Champaign-Urbana, IL105,500 people22% now, 35% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works