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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Metro area, Nevada

Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV

1,136,960 people work in this area, at mean pay of $60,800 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now
21%

of the paid hours. Estimate.

$19B

a year: 486 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work
  • 33%
  • 16%
  • 51%
4%

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 33% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 19%. Today's estimate: 21%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 2% within reacho3, April 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 8% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 11% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 11% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 12% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 12% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 19% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 21% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 54% of the people.

PeoplePay here
Customer Service Representatives25,29064%34 million$40K
Office Clerks, General15,03054%17 million$43K
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks10,32078%17 million$50K
Retail Salespersons33,76019%14 million$34K
General and Operations Managers27,29023%13 million$97K
Registered Nurses20,41028%12 million$104K
Receptionists and Information Clerks8,03059%9.8 million$37K
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive11,08043%9.8 million$46K
First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers10,86040%9.1 million$45K
Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks8,17053%9 million$41K
Cashiers21,93019%8.4 million$29K
Stockers and Order Fillers20,78019%8.2 million$37K

People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 564 smaller jobs (507,470 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 97% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.

  1. Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives
    5.7 million hours100% of the task within reach
  2. Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives
    5.3 million hours100% of the task within reach
  3. Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.Bartenders
    5 million hours50% of the task within reach
  4. Write reports of daily activities and irregularities, such as equipment or property damage, theft, presence of unauthorized persons, or unusual occurrences.Security Guards
    4.5 million hours100% of the task within reach
  5. Record numbers of units handled or moved, using daily production sheets or work tickets.Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
    4.1 million hours100% of the task within reach
  6. Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons
    4.1 million hours50% of the task within reach
  7. Check to ensure that appropriate changes were made to resolve customers' problems.Customer Service Representatives
    4.1 million hours80% of the task within reach
  8. Keep records of customer interactions or transactions, recording details of inquiries, complaints, or comments, as well as actions taken.Customer Service Representatives
    3.8 million hours100% of the task within reach
  9. Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General
    3.8 million hours100% of the task within reach
  10. Direct and coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with the production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products.General and Operations Managers
    3.5 million hours40% of the task within reach

Other areas in Nevada

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works