Metro area, Nevada
Carson City, NV
31,940 people work in this area, at mean pay of $68,900 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 12 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 40%
- 17%
- 43%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 18% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 20%. Today's estimate: 23%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 60% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 550 | 78% | 887,745 | $48K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 960 | 43% | 850,639 | $49K |
| Office Clerks, General | 510 | 54% | 576,015 | $49K |
| Computer User Support Specialists | 560 | 42% | 488,053 | $94K |
| Registered Nurses | 820 | 28% | 474,158 | $101K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 340 | 64% | 455,437 | $43K |
| General and Operations Managers | 890 | 23% | 422,076 | $103K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 280 | 59% | 342,451 | $41K |
| Retail Salespersons | 740 | 19% | 298,605 | $37K |
| Cashiers | 600 | 19% | 230,880 | $34K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 250 | 40% | 210,080 | $43K |
| Compliance Officers | 250 | 37% | 190,321 | $86K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 169 smaller jobs (10,080 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 80% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Develop and implement records management program for filing, protection, and retrieval of records, and assure compliance with program.Management Analysts223,619 hours76% of the task within reach
- Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive210,253 hours53% of the task within reach
- Use computers for various applications, such as database management or word processing.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive191,748 hours100% of the task within reach
- Analyze data gathered and develop solutions or alternative methods of proceeding.Management Analysts191,187 hours98% of the task within reach
- Operate computers programmed with accounting software to record, store, and analyze information.Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks178,864 hours100% of the task within reach
- Set up and manage paper or electronic filing systems, recording information, updating paperwork, or maintaining documents, such as attendance records, correspondence, or other material.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive154,541 hours70% of the task within reach
- Verify that all firm and regulatory policies and procedures have been documented, implemented, and communicated.Compliance Officers146,396 hours94% of the task within reach
- Gather and organize information on problems or procedures.Management Analysts145,240 hours80% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses137,389 hours60% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General127,742 hours100% of the task within reach
Other areas in Nevada
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works