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Civil Engineers

Perform engineering duties in planning, designing, and overseeing construction and maintenance of building structures and facilities, such as roads, railroads, airports, bridges, harbors, channels, dams, irrigation projects, pipelines, power plants, and water and sewage systems.

367,840 people do this job in the US. $100,840 a year.

now
5%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 62%
  • 17%
  • 21%
1%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
February 2028

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 62% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 3%. Today's estimate: 5%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 1% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 3% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 5% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 16 tasks from .

TaskKind
Plan and design transportation or hydraulic systems or structures, using computer-assisted design or drawing tools.Done daily by most who do it. 21%2.5 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Jun 2028
Direct engineering activities, ensuring compliance with environmental, safety, or other governmental regulations.Done daily by most who do it. 14%3.3 h50 min to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Manage and direct the construction, operations, or maintenance activities at project site.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 11%6.7 h1.7 h to 3.3 work daysStays with people
Design energy-efficient or environmentally sound civil structures.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 10%2.5 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Jun 2028
Analyze survey reports, maps, drawings, blueprints, aerial photography, or other topographical or geologic data.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 8%3.3 h50 min to 1.7 work days21%Half by May 2027
Compute load and grade requirements, water flow rates, or material stress factors to determine design specifications.Done daily by most who do it. 7%3.3 h1.3 h to 1.7 work days27%Half by Mar 2027
Conduct studies of traffic patterns or environmental conditions to identify engineering problems and assess potential project impact.Done more than yearly by most who do it.6%2.5 work days5 h to 1.7 work weeks1%Half by Aug 2028
Test soils or materials to determine the adequacy and strength of foundations, concrete, asphalt, or steel.Done more than monthly by most who do it.4%6.7 h1.7 h to 3.3 work daysStays with people
Estimate quantities and cost of materials, equipment, or labor to determine project feasibility.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%6.7 h2.5 h to 3.3 work days9%Half by Sep 2027
Direct or participate in surveying to lay out installations or establish reference points, grades, or elevations to guide construction.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work daysStays with people
Provide technical advice to industrial or managerial personnel regarding design, construction, program modifications, or structural repairs.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 3%1.7 h25 min to 6.7 h43%Half by Nov 2026
Prepare or present public reports on topics such as bid proposals, deeds, environmental impact statements, or property and right-of-way descriptions.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 2%1.3 work days3.3 h to 1.3 work weeksStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.