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Transportation Engineers

Develop plans for surface transportation projects, according to established engineering standards and state or federal construction policy. Prepare designs, specifications, or estimates for transportation facilities. Plan modifications of existing streets, highways, or freeways to improve traffic flow.

$100,840 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

now
4%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 90%
  • 4%
  • 6%
1%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
April 2028

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 90% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 2%. Today's estimate: 4%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 2% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 4% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 26 tasks from .

TaskKind
Prepare final project layout drawings that include details such as stress calculations.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 11%2.1 work days6.7 h to 1.3 work weeks1%Half by Mar 2028
Design or engineer drainage, erosion, or sedimentation control systems for transportation projects.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 11%3.3 work days6.7 h to 1.3 work weeks0%Half by Jul 2028
Model transportation scenarios to evaluate the impacts of activities such as new development or to identify possible solutions to transportation problems.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 11%3.3 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Sep 2028
Plan alteration or modification of existing transportation structures to improve safety or function.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 11%4.2 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Nov 2028
Design or prepare plans for new transportation systems or parts of systems, such as airports, commuter trains, highways, streets, bridges, drainage structures, or roadway lighting.Done daily by most who do it. 11%1.7 work weeks4.2 work days to 3.3 work weeks0%Half by Dec 2028
Prepare project budgets, schedules, or specifications for labor or materials.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 6%6.7 h3.3 h to 2.5 work days10%Half by May 2027
Investigate traffic problems and recommend methods to improve traffic flow or safety.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%1.7 work days5 h to 3.3 work days1%Half by Nov 2027
Check construction plans, design calculations, or cost estimations to ensure completeness, accuracy, or conformity to engineering standards or practices.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%3.3 h1.7 h to 1.3 work days38%Half by Nov 2026
Prepare administrative, technical, or statistical reports on traffic-operation matters, such as accidents, safety measures, or pedestrian volume or practices.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%6.7 h3.3 h to 2.5 work days10%Half by May 2027
Estimate transportation project costs.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%6.7 h2.5 h to 1.7 work days10%Half by May 2027
Confer with contractors, utility companies, or government agencies to discuss plans, specifications, or work schedules.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 3%1.7 h50 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Design transportation systems or structures with sustainable materials or products, such as porous pavement or bioretention structures.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%3.3 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Sep 2028

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.