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Transportation Planners

Prepare studies for proposed transportation projects. Gather, compile, and analyze data. Study the use and operation of transportation systems. Develop transportation models or simulations.

$101,110 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

now
2%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 81%
  • 19%
  • 0%
3%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
April 2028

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 81% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 1%. Today's estimate: 2%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 1% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 2% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 22 tasks from .

TaskKind
Collaborate with other professionals to develop sustainable transportation strategies at the local, regional, or national level.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 12%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1 work weekStays with people
Develop computer models to address transportation planning issues.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 12%4.2 work days6.7 h to 2.8 work weeks0%Half by Feb 2029
Analyze information related to transportation, such as land use policies, environmental impact of projects, or long-range planning needs.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 11%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1 work week2%Half by Apr 2028
Prepare reports or recommendations on transportation planning.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 11%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Prepare or review engineering studies or specifications.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.9%1.3 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days4%Half by Dec 2027
Develop or test new methods or models of transportation analysis.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 6%4.2 work days1 work day to 2.8 work weeks0%Half by Dec 2028
Interpret data from traffic modeling software, geographic information systems, or associated databases.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 5%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Collaborate with engineers to research, analyze, or resolve complex transportation design issues.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work daysStays with people
Produce environmental documents, such as environmental assessments or environmental impact statements.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%1.7 work weeks2.1 work days to 4.2 work weeks0%Half by May 2029
Recommend transportation system improvements or projects, based on economic, population, land-use, or traffic projections.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Define regional or local transportation planning problems or priorities.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days9%Half by Aug 2027
Prepare necessary documents to obtain planned project approvals or permits.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1.4 work weeks2%Half by Jun 2028

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.