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Security Guards

Guard, patrol, or monitor premises to prevent theft, violence, or infractions of rules. May operate x-ray and metal detector equipment.

1,283,470 people do this job in the US. $38,020 a year.

now
13%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 13%
  • 0%
  • 87%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 13% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 13%. Today's estimate: 13%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 2% within reacho3, April 2025: 8% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 9% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 12% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 12% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 12% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 12% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 13% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 13% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 14 tasks from .

TaskKind
Circulate among visitors, patrons, or employees to preserve order and protect property.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 21%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Patrol industrial or commercial premises to prevent and detect signs of intrusion and ensure security of doors, windows, and gates.Done daily by most who do it. 15%38 min17 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Monitor and authorize entrance and departure of employees, visitors, and other persons to guard against theft and maintain security of premises.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 11%17 min8 min to 38 minStays with people
Write reports of daily activities and irregularities, such as equipment or property damage, theft, presence of unauthorized persons, or unusual occurrences.Done daily by most who do it. 9%25 min13 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Escort or drive motor vehicle to transport individuals to specified locations or to provide personal protection.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 9%50 min25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Inspect and adjust security systems, equipment, or machinery to ensure operational use and to detect evidence of tampering.Done daily by most who do it. 7%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Answer alarms and investigate disturbances.Done daily by most who do it. 6%25 min8 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Warn persons of rule infractions or violations, and apprehend or evict violators from premises, using force when necessary.Done daily by most who do it. 5%25 min8 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Operate detecting devices to screen individuals and prevent passage of prohibited articles into restricted areas.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 5%17 min8 min to 38 minStays with people
Answer telephone calls to take messages, answer questions, and provide information during non-business hours or when switchboard is closed.Done daily by most who do it. 4%8 min4 min to 17 min100%Half by now
Respond to medical emergencies by administering basic first aid or by obtaining assistance from paramedics.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Lock doors and gates of entrances and exits to secure buildings.Done daily by most who do it. 3%8 min4 min to 17 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).