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Transit and Railroad Police

Protect and police railroad and transit property, employees, or passengers.

4,390 people do this job in the US. $90,230 a year.

now
10%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 32%
  • 5%
  • 63%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
May 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 32% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 8%. Today's estimate: 10%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 2% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 8% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 10% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 12 tasks from .

TaskKind
Monitor transit areas and conduct security checks to protect railroad properties, patrons, and employees.Done daily by most who do it. 19%1.7 h38 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Investigate or direct investigations of freight theft, suspicious damage or loss of passengers' valuables, or other crimes on railroad property.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 19%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work daysStays with people
Plan or implement special safety or preventive programs, such as fire or accident prevention.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 19%1.3 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days4%Half by Dec 2027
Patrol railroad yards, cars, stations, or other facilities to protect company property or shipments and to maintain order.Done daily by most who do it. 17%1.7 h50 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Prepare reports documenting investigation activities and results.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.11%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h77%Half by now
Direct or coordinate the daily activities or training of security staff.Done daily by most who do it.5%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Apprehend or remove trespassers or thieves from railroad property or coordinate with law enforcement agencies in apprehensions and removals.Done daily by most who do it. 3%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Provide training to the public or law enforcement personnel in railroad safety or security.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026
Enforce traffic laws regarding the transit system and reprimand individuals who violate them.Done daily by most who do it. 2%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Direct security activities at derailments, fires, floods, or strikes involving railroad property.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 2%3.3 h1.7 h to 1 work dayStays with people
Interview neighbors, associates, or former employers of job applicants to verify personal references or to obtain work history data.Done more than yearly by most who do it.0.6%50 min25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Examine credentials of unauthorized persons attempting to enter secured areas.Done daily by most who do it. 0.5%13 min4 min to 38 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).