State
Indiana
3,201,220 people work in Indiana, at mean pay of $60,840 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 1.5 billion hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 36%
- 7%
- 57%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 18% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 21%. Today's estimate: 23%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 49% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office Clerks, General | 58,480 | 58% | 71 million | $45K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 44,630 | 67% | 62 million | $43K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 29,910 | 76% | 48 million | $48K |
| Cashiers | 68,350 | 30% | 43 million | $30K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 21,180 | 87% | 38 million | $44K |
| Retail Salespersons | 83,670 | 20% | 35 million | $32K |
| Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 21,950 | 69% | 31 million | $64K |
| Team Assemblers | 85,610 | 18% | 31 million | $46K |
| Fast Food and Counter Workers | 97,290 | 15% | 31 million | $29K |
| Registered Nurses | 68,980 | 21% | 30 million | $84K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 17,360 | 83% | 30 million | $36K |
| Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products | 32,350 | 44% | 30 million | $71K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 723 smaller jobs (1,632,230 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 99% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Perform personnel activities, such as supervising and training employees.Fast Food and Counter Workers29 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons20 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses19 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Review work orders and blueprints to ensure work is performed according to specifications.Team Assemblers15 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General15 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Record numbers of units handled or moved, using daily production sheets or work tickets.Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand14 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Determine work assignments and procedures.Team Assemblers11 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain and update filing, inventory, mailing, and database systems, either manually or using a computer.Office Clerks, General10 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives10 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers10 million hours100% of the task within reach
Metro and nonmetro areas in Indiana
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN1,105,170 people24% now, 37% by 2028
- Fort Wayne, IN225,520 people24% now, 35% by 2028
- Northern Indiana nonmetropolitan area210,320 people22% now, 31% by 2028
- Southern Indiana nonmetropolitan area196,540 people22% now, 32% by 2028
- Central Indiana nonmetropolitan area161,570 people22% now, 31% by 2028
- Evansville, IN135,250 people24% now, 35% by 2028
- South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI131,670 people24% now, 36% by 2028
- Elkhart-Goshen, IN127,730 people22% now, 31% by 2028
- Lafayette-West Lafayette, IN102,200 people23% now, 35% by 2028
- Bloomington, IN73,240 people25% now, 38% by 2028
- Terre Haute, IN65,120 people24% now, 33% by 2028
- Columbus, IN49,820 people23% now, 36% by 2028
- Muncie, IN44,740 people25% now, 35% by 2028
- Michigan City-La Porte, IN40,840 people22% now, 31% by 2028
- Kokomo, IN35,500 people24% now, 33% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works