Metro area, Indiana
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
131,670 people work in this area, at mean pay of $58,230 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 58 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 35%
- 17%
- 48%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 18% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 20%. Today's estimate: 22%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 50% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office Clerks, General | 2,770 | 54% | 3.1 million | $42K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 1,870 | 64% | 2.5 million | $40K |
| Registered Nurses | 3,370 | 28% | 1.9 million | $94K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 1,110 | 78% | 1.8 million | $48K |
| Retail Salespersons | 4,000 | 19% | 1.6 million | $31K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 870 | 81% | 1.5 million | $43K |
| Cashiers | 2,820 | 19% | 1.1 million | $29K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 880 | 59% | 1.1 million | $36K |
| Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks | 960 | 53% | 1.1 million | $45K |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 2,580 | 19% | 1 million | $37K |
| Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products | 1,340 | 36% | 997,820 | $66K |
| General and Operations Managers | 2,070 | 23% | 981,683 | $105K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 382 smaller jobs (62,390 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 95% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General693,812 hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses564,634 hours60% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons484,682 hours50% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives423,227 hours100% of the task within reach
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers414,639 hours100% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives390,360 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain and update filing, inventory, mailing, and database systems, either manually or using a computer.Office Clerks, General386,533 hours80% of the task within reach
- Maintain accurate, detailed reports and records.Registered Nurses386,509 hours100% of the task within reach
- Develop sales presentations or proposals to explain service specifications.Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel375,895 hours100% of the task within reach
- Record numbers of units handled or moved, using daily production sheets or work tickets.Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand370,476 hours100% of the task within reach
Other areas in Indiana
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood, IN1,105,170 people22% now, 35% by 2028
- Fort Wayne, IN225,520 people22% now, 33% by 2028
- Northern Indiana nonmetropolitan area210,320 people20% now, 29% by 2028
- Southern Indiana nonmetropolitan area196,540 people20% now, 29% by 2028
- Central Indiana nonmetropolitan area161,570 people21% now, 29% by 2028
- Evansville, IN135,250 people22% now, 33% by 2028
- Elkhart-Goshen, IN127,730 people20% now, 29% by 2028
- Lafayette-West Lafayette, IN102,200 people21% now, 32% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works