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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Metro area, Indiana

Columbus, IN

49,820 people work in this area, at mean pay of $61,800 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now
20%

of the paid hours. Estimate.

$732M

a year: 18 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work
  • 35%
  • 16%
  • 49%
3%

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 35% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 18%. Today's estimate: 21%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 2% within reacho3, April 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 7% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 10% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 10% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 11% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 12% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 18% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 21% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 63% of the people.

PeoplePay here
Office Clerks, General79054%892,258$46K
Customer Service Representatives60064%803,712$43K
Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants39081%654,639$42K
Team Assemblers2,98010%644,634$47K
Retail Salespersons1,50019%605,280$30K
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks36078%581,069$47K
Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks47053%517,150$45K
First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers69032%457,830$76K
Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers90024%451,152$49K
Registered Nurses64028%370,074$77K
Machinists1,47011%348,569$61K
Cashiers90019%346,320$29K

People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 184 smaller jobs (15,720 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 85% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.

  1. Design fixtures, tooling, or experimental parts to meet special engineering needs.Machinists
    305,469 hours100% of the task within reach
  2. Plan and establish sequence of operations to fabricate and assemble parts or products and to promote efficient utilization.Industrial Engineers
    303,760 hours99% of the task within reach
  3. Review work orders and blueprints to ensure work is performed according to specifications.Team Assemblers
    263,525 hours50% of the task within reach
  4. Recommend methods for improving utilization of personnel, material, and utilities.Industrial Engineers
    230,950 hours99% of the task within reach
  5. Complete production reports to communicate team production level to management.Team Assemblers
    212,667 hours100% of the task within reach
  6. Develop manufacturing methods, labor utilization standards, and cost analysis systems to promote efficient staff and facility utilization.Industrial Engineers
    203,656 hours91% of the task within reach
  7. Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.Machinists
    198,672 hours97% of the task within reach
  8. Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General
    197,874 hours100% of the task within reach
  9. Determine work assignments and procedures.Team Assemblers
    190,353 hours50% of the task within reach
  10. Record numbers of units handled or moved, using daily production sheets or work tickets.Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
    182,453 hours100% of the task within reach

Other areas in Indiana

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works