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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Sales Managers

Plan, direct, or coordinate the actual distribution or movement of a product or service to the customer. Coordinate sales distribution by establishing sales territories, quotas, and goals and establish training programs for sales representatives. Analyze sales statistics gathered by staff to determine sales potential and inventory requirements and monitor the preferences of customers.

637,080 people do this job in the US. $148,270 a year.

now
35%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 45%
  • 49%
  • 5%
4%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 45% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 30%. Today's estimate: 35%.

0%10%20%30%40%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 5% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 9% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 9% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 12% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 13% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 30% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 35% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 17 tasks from .

TaskKind
Direct and coordinate activities involving sales of manufactured products, services, commodities, real estate, or other subjects of sale.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 14%1.7 h50 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Oversee regional and local sales managers and their staffs.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 14%50 min25 min to 2.5 h95%Half by now
Monitor customer preferences to determine focus of sales efforts.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 11%1.7 h38 min to 5 h66%Half by now
Confer with potential customers regarding equipment needs, and advise customers on types of equipment to purchase.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 11%50 min25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Resolve customer complaints regarding sales and service.Done more than weekly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.11%38 min13 min to 1.7 h95%Half by now
Plan and direct staffing, training, and performance evaluations to develop and control sales and service programs.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 10%3.3 h1.3 h to 1 work dayStays with people
Review operational records and reports to project sales and determine profitability.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 7%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026
Direct clerical staff to keep records of export correspondence, bid requests, and credit collections, and to maintain current information on tariffs, licenses, and restrictions.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 6%1.3 h38 min to 2.1 hStays with people
Direct, coordinate, and review sales and service accounting and record-keeping, as well as receiving and shipping.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%1.7 h50 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Visit franchised dealers to stimulate interest in establishment or expansion of leasing programs.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%3.3 h1.7 h to 6.7 hStays with people
Represent company at trade association meetings to promote products.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%6.7 h2.5 h to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Direct foreign sales and service outlets of an organization.Done more than monthly by most who do it.2%3.3 h1.7 h to 6.7 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.