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Marketing Managers

Plan, direct, or coordinate marketing policies and programs, such as determining the demand for products and services offered by a firm and its competitors, and identify potential customers. Develop pricing strategies with the goal of maximizing the firm's profits or share of the market while ensuring the firm's customers are satisfied. Oversee product development or monitor trends that indicate the need for new products and services.

395,240 people do this job in the US. $166,790 a year.

now
4%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 60%
  • 31%
  • 10%
32%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
January 2028

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 60% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 2%. Today's estimate: 4%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 2% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 4% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 20 tasks from .

TaskKind
Identify, develop, or evaluate marketing strategy, based on knowledge of establishment objectives, market characteristics, and cost and markup factors.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.25%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.3 work weeks1%Half by Jul 2028
Formulate, direct, or coordinate marketing activities or policies to promote products or services, working with advertising or promotion managers.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.18%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work daysStays with people
Develop pricing strategies, balancing firm objectives and customer satisfaction.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.11%1 work day2.5 h to 3.1 work days5%Half by Oct 2027
Coordinate or participate in promotional activities or trade shows, working with developers, advertisers, or production managers, to market products or services.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 10%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1 work weekStays with people
Use sales forecasting or strategic planning to ensure the sale and profitability of products, lines, or services, analyzing business developments and monitoring market trends.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.7%6.7 h2.5 h to 2.5 work days9%Half by Jul 2027
Conduct economic or commercial surveys to identify potential markets for products or services.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.5%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Consult with product development personnel on product specifications, such as design, color, or packaging.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%2.5 h50 min to 1 work dayStays with people
Direct the hiring, training, or performance evaluations of marketing or sales staff and oversee their daily activities.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%3.3 h1.3 h to 1.3 work daysStays with people
Initiate market research studies, or analyze their findings.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%6.7 h3.3 h to 2.5 work days10%Half by May 2027
Evaluate the financial aspects of product development, such as budgets, expenditures, research and development appropriations, or return-on-investment and profit-loss projections.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days15%Half by Jun 2027
Negotiate contracts with vendors or distributors to manage product distribution, establishing distribution networks or developing distribution strategies.Done more than yearly by most who do it.2%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people
Compile lists describing product or service offerings.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 2%1.7 h50 min to 5 h76%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).