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Purchasing Agents, Except Wholesale, Retail, and Farm Products

Purchase machinery, equipment, tools, parts, supplies, or services necessary for the operation of an establishment. Purchase raw or semifinished materials for manufacturing. May negotiate contracts.

$77,710 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

now
33%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 87%
  • 11%
  • 1%
n/a

Anthropic's data does not cover this job.

Half the desk work within reach
January 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 87% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 23%. Today's estimate: 33%.

0%10%20%30%40%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 2% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 5% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 5% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 23% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 33% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 19 tasks from .

TaskKind
Purchase the highest quality merchandise at the lowest possible price and in correct amounts.Done daily by most who do it. 21%3.3 h50 min to 1.7 work days21%Half by May 2027
Analyze price proposals, financial reports, and other data and information to determine reasonable prices.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 15%3.3 h50 min to 1 work day28%Half by Feb 2027
Monitor and follow applicable laws and regulations.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.11%1.7 h25 min to 6.7 h43%Half by Nov 2026
Prepare purchase orders, solicit bid proposals, and review requisitions for goods and services.Done daily by most who do it. 9%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 h65%Half by now
Negotiate, renegotiate, and administer contracts with suppliers, vendors, and other representatives.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 8%5 h1.7 h to 3.1 work daysStays with people
Research and evaluate suppliers, based on price, quality, selection, service, support, availability, reliability, production and distribution capabilities, and the supplier's reputation and history.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 6%4.2 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days20%Half by Apr 2027
Maintain and review computerized or manual records of purchased items, costs, deliveries, product performance, and inventories.Done daily by most who do it. 5%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 h87%Half by now
Write and review product specifications, maintaining a working technical knowledge of the goods or services to be purchased.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.5%2.5 h50 min to 1 work day40%Half by Dec 2026
Study sales records and inventory levels of current stock to develop strategic purchasing programs that facilitate employee access to supplies.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%3.3 h1.3 h to 1.7 work days27%Half by Mar 2027
Formulate policies and procedures for bid proposals and procurement of goods and services.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Hire, train, or supervise purchasing clerks, buyers, and expediters.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 3%3.3 h50 min to 2.1 work daysStays with people
Evaluate and monitor contract performance to ensure compliance with contractual obligations and to determine need for changes.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 2%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.