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Procurement Clerks

Compile information and records to draw up purchase orders for procurement of materials and services.

55,810 people do this job in the US. $50,580 a year.

now
78%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 90%
  • 7%
  • 3%
24%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 90% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 3%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 71%. Today's estimate: 78%.

0%25%50%75%100%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 3% within reacho3, April 2025: 16% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 23% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 33% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 33% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 40% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 42% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 71% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 78% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 19 tasks from .

TaskKind
Perform buying duties when necessary.Done daily by most who do it. 13%50 min13 min to 2.5 h79%Half by now
Locate suppliers, using sources such as catalogs and the internet, and interview them to gather information about products to be ordered.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.11%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 h65%Half by now
Maintain knowledge of all organizational and governmental rules affecting purchases, and provide information about these rules to organization staff members and to vendors.Done daily by most who do it. 9%38 min13 min to 1.7 h95%Half by now
Compare prices, specifications, and delivery dates to determine the best bid among potential suppliers.Done daily by most who do it. 8%50 min17 min to 2.5 h87%Half by now
Prepare, maintain, and review purchasing files, reports and price lists.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.8%50 min13 min to 2.5 h79%Half by now
Train and supervise subordinates and other staff.Done more than monthly by most who do it.7%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Prepare invitation-of-bid forms, and mail forms to supplier firms or distribute forms for public posting.Done more than monthly by most who do it.6%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h77%Half by now
Track the status of requisitions, contracts, and orders.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.5%21 min8 min to 38 min100%Half by now
Calculate costs of orders, and charge or forward invoices to appropriate accounts.Done daily by most who do it. 5%25 min8 min to 1.1 h98%Half by now
Determine if inventory quantities are sufficient for needs, ordering more materials when necessary.Done daily by most who do it. 4%33 min13 min to 1.3 h99%Half by now
Prepare purchase orders and send copies to suppliers and to departments originating requests.Done daily by most who do it. 4%21 min8 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Check shipments when they arrive to ensure that orders have been filled correctly and that goods meet specifications.Done daily by most who do it. 3%25 min8 min to 1.7 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).