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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Order Clerks

Receive and process incoming orders for materials, merchandise, classified ads, or services such as repairs, installations, or rental of facilities. Generally receives orders via mail, phone, fax, or other electronic means. Duties include informing customers of receipt, prices, shipping dates, and delays; preparing contracts; and handling complaints.

75,200 people do this job in the US. $46,170 a year.

now
71%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 74%
  • 10%
  • 16%
7%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 74% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 14%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 69%. Today's estimate: 71%.

0%25%50%75%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 2% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 2% within reacho1, December 2024: 6% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 14% within reacho3, April 2025: 37% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 44% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 52% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 52% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 56% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 57% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 69% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 71% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 19 tasks from .

TaskKind
Receive and respond to customer complaints.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task.16%25 min8 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Calculate and compile order-related statistics, and prepare reports for management.Done daily by most who do it.12%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h77%Half by now
Recommend merchandise or services that will meet customers' needs.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.8%13 min4 min to 38 min99%Half by now
Inspect outgoing work for compliance with customers' specifications.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 7%13 min4 min to 38 minStays with people
Attempt to sell additional merchandise or services to prospective or current customers by telephone or through visits.Done daily by most who do it.7%25 min8 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Obtain customers' names, addresses, and billing information, product numbers, and specifications of items to be purchased, and enter this information on order forms.Done daily by most who do it. 7%13 min4 min to 33 min100%Half by now
Confer with production, sales, shipping, warehouse, or common carrier personnel to expedite or trace shipments.Done daily by most who do it.6%21 min8 min to 38 minStays with people
Prepare invoices, shipping documents, and contracts.Done daily by most who do it.6%21 min8 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Inform customers by mail or telephone of order information, such as unit prices, shipping dates, and any anticipated delays.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.5%13 min4 min to 25 min100%Half by now
Verify customer and order information for correctness, checking it against previously obtained information as necessary.Done daily by most who do it. 4%8 min3 min to 25 min100%Half by now
Review orders for completeness according to reporting procedures and forward incomplete orders for further processing.Done daily by most who do it. 4%8 min4 min to 21 min100%Half by now
Direct specified departments or units to prepare and ship orders to designated locations.Done daily by most who do it.4%13 min4 min to 33 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.