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Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation Physicians

Diagnose and treat disorders requiring physiotherapy to provide physical, mental, and occupational rehabilitation.

$265,930 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

now
42%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 42%
  • 7%
  • 51%
3%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 42% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 5%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 42%. Today's estimate: 42%.

0%10%20%30%40%50%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 2% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 5% within reacho3, April 2025: 19% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 24% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 30% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 30% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 34% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 34% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 42% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 42% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 15 tasks from .

TaskKind
Develop comprehensive plans for immediate and long-term rehabilitation, including therapeutic exercise, speech and occupational therapy, counseling, cognitive retraining, patient, family or caregiver education, or community reintegration.Done several times a day by most who do it. 14%50 min25 min to 1.7 h99%Half by now
Perform electrodiagnosis, including electromyography, nerve conduction studies, or somatosensory evoked potentials of neuromuscular disorders or damage.Done daily by most who do it. 13%1.7 h50 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Examine patients to assess mobility, strength, communication, or cognition.Done several times a day by most who do it. 13%29 min17 min to 1.1 hStays with people
Provide inpatient or outpatient medical management of neuromuscular disorders, musculoskeletal trauma, acute and chronic pain, deformity or amputation, cardiac or pulmonary disease, or other disabling conditions.Done daily by most who do it. 10%33 min17 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Document examination results, treatment plans, and patients' outcomes.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 8%17 min8 min to 38 min100%Half by now
Conduct physical tests, such as functional capacity evaluations, to determine injured workers' capabilities to perform the physical demands of their jobs.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 8%2.1 h1.1 h to 3.3 hStays with people
Diagnose or treat performance-related conditions, such as sports injuries or repetitive-motion injuries.Done several times a day by most who do it. 8%33 min17 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Coordinate physical medicine and rehabilitation services with other medical activities.Done several times a day by most who do it. 5%25 min13 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Monitor effectiveness of pain management interventions, such as medication or spinal injections.Done several times a day by most who do it. 5%17 min8 min to 33 min100%Half by now
Consult or coordinate with other rehabilitative professionals, including physical and occupational therapists, rehabilitation nurses, speech pathologists, neuropsychologists, behavioral psychologists, social workers, or medical technicians.Done several times a day by most who do it. 4%17 min8 min to 38 minStays with people
Assess characteristics of patients' pain, such as intensity, location, or duration, using standardized clinical measures.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 3%8 min4 min to 17 min100%Half by now
Instruct interns and residents in the diagnosis and treatment of temporary or permanent physically disabling conditions.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 3%50 min25 min to 1.7 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.