Emergency Medicine Physicians
Make immediate medical decisions and act to prevent death or further disability. Provide immediate recognition, evaluation, care, stabilization, and disposition of patients. May direct emergency medical staff in an emergency department.
32,880 people do this job in the US. $335,550 a year.
of the working time. Estimate.
- 42%
- 13%
- 45%
Anthropic's data does not cover this job.
On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.
Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 9%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 42%. Today's estimate: 42%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
The tasks
Sorted by . 17 tasks from .
| Task | Kind | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Select, request, perform, or interpret diagnostic procedures, such as laboratory tests, electrocardiograms, emergency ultrasounds, and radiographs.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 11% | 21 min8 min to 50 min | Stays with people | |
| Conduct primary patient assessments that include information from prior medical care.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 11% | 21 min8 min to 50 min | Stays with people | |
| Analyze records, examination information, or test results to diagnose medical conditions.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task. | 11% | 21 min8 min to 50 min | 100%Half by now | |
| Collect and record patient information, such as medical history or examination results, in electronic or handwritten medical records.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 9% | 17 min8 min to 38 min | 100%Half by now | |
| Stabilize patients in critical condition.Done several times a day by most who do it. | 8% | 50 min17 min to 2.5 h | Stays with people | |
| Evaluate patients' vital signs or laboratory data to determine emergency intervention needs and priority of treatment.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 7% | 13 min4 min to 25 min | 100%Half by now | |
| Monitor patients' conditions, and reevaluate treatments, as necessary.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 6% | 13 min4 min to 25 min | Stays with people | |
| Direct and coordinate activities of nurses, assistants, specialists, residents, and other medical staff.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 6% | 13 min4 min to 38 min | Stays with people | |
| Communicate likely outcomes of medical diseases or traumatic conditions to patients or their representatives.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 5% | 13 min4 min to 33 min | 100%Half by now | |
| Perform emergency resuscitations on patients.Done daily by most who do it. | 4% | 38 min13 min to 1.7 h | Stays with people | |
| Consult with hospitalists and other professionals, such as social workers, regarding patients' hospital admission, continued observation, transition of care, or discharge.Done several times a day by most who do it. | 4% | 13 min4 min to 33 min | Stays with people | |
| Select and prescribe medications to address patient needs.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 4% | 8 min4 min to 21 min | 100%Half by now |
Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.
Jobs that share skills with this one
From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
Where this job works
The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).
Where the most of these jobs are
The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).