Pediatricians, General
In short: today's best AI models could do about 32% of this job's working time (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) if the work were set up for them, and about 41% by the end of 2028 if progress keeps its long-run pace. The people and hands-on work, about 59% of the time, stays with people.
Diagnose, treat, and help prevent diseases and injuries in children. May refer patients to specialists for further diagnosis or treatment, as needed.
39,390 people do this job in the US. $210,040 a year.
A typical 40-hour week
Not yet reviewed task by task- AI could take on13 h
- A person checks AI's work0 h
- Desk work AI can't do yet3 h
- Stays with people24 h
Pediatricians, General, now: of a 40-hour week, AI could take on 13 hours, 0 hours become checking its work, 3 hours are desk work it can't do yet, and 24 hours stay with people.
The largest pieces: Plan and execute medical care programs to aid in the mental and physical growth and development of children and adolescents (about 7 h); Collect, record, and maintain patient information, such as medical history, reports, or examination results (about 2 h); Explain procedures and discuss test results or prescribed treatments with patients and parents or guardians (about 1 h).
Estimates for a typical week of this job, if progress keeps its long-run pace, counting work the best models finish four times in five. Every task is below.
of the working time. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
- 41%
- 10%
- 49%
of the work: Anthropic's measure of what people already bring to Claude at work (2025). It counts help with part of a task, so it can be higher than the share within reach.
On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.
Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030
Change assumptionsHide assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 2.4 work days long four times in five.
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 15%. Today's estimate: 32%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Measured use over time
Of the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled and tied to a work task, 0.011% went to this job's tasks in May 2026, the 396th largest of the 447 jobs that showed up at all; 1 of its 17 tasks showed up. Within each of Anthropic's methods, never across a change: 0.036% to 0.037% (released February and March 2025); 0.055% to 0.073% (August 2025 to February 2026); 0.011% to 0.011% (April to May 2026).
Each release
| Conversations | Share | Rank | Tasks seen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Released February 2025 | 0.036% | 332 of 708 | 7 of 17 |
| Released March 2025 | 0.037% | 323 of 703 | 9 of 17 |
| The week of Aug 4, 2025 (released September 2025) | 0.055% | 233 of 655 | 9 of 17 |
| The week of Nov 13, 2025 (released January 2026) | 0.066% | 203 of 672 | 11 of 17 |
| The week of Feb 5, 2026 (released March 2026) | 0.073% | 206 of 677 | 9 of 17 |
| April 2026 (released June 2026) | 0.011% | 379 of 434 | 1 of 17 |
| May 2026 (released June 2026) | 0.011% | 396 of 447 | 1 of 17 |
Measured, not estimated: Anthropic's samples of Claude.ai conversations, each tied by a model to an O*NET task, from the Anthropic Economic Index. It says where Claude's use goes, not how much of this job's working time it covers, so it is not on the same scale as the reach above. The releases differ in their sample, their classifier and the smallest share they report (the June 2026 file rounds each task to a hundredth of a percent, so a smaller task reads as none), which is why a change of method starts a new line. At least 96% of each older release's task-tied use matched this site's tasks, and all of the newest. Claude.ai only, so use through other tools and other companies' models is not in it. Every job ranked.
Robots and the physical work
Anthropic rates 47% of this job's working time as physical work. For 0% of the working time, a robot has been shown doing most of the task somewhere. 0.00 of 3.
- Not physical 53%
- No robot shown 47%
Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. The robot behind each rated task is under the task below.
The tasks
Sorted by . 17 tasks from .
| Task | Kind | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plan and execute medical care programs to aid in the mental and physical growth and development of children and adolescents.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 22% | 4.2 h50 min to 1 work day | 79%Half by now | |
| Conduct research to study anatomy and develop or test medications, treatments, or procedures to prevent or control disease or injury.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 18% | 2.1 work days6.7 h to 1.3 work weeks | Stays with people | |
| Treat children who have minor illnesses, acute and chronic health problems, and growth and development concerns.Done hourly or more by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating. | 10% | 29 min13 min to 1.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Examine children regularly to assess their growth and development.Done hourly or more by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating. | 8% | 25 min13 min to 50 min | Stays with people | |
| Prescribe or administer treatment, therapy, medication, vaccination, and other specialized medical care to treat or prevent illness, disease, or injury in infants and children.Done hourly or more by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating. | 7% | 21 min8 min to 50 min | Stays with people | |
| Plan, implement, or administer health programs or standards in hospitals, businesses, or communities for prevention or treatment of injury or illness.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 7% | 6.7 h1.7 h to 4.2 work days | 40%Half by Jan 2027 | |
| Examine patients or order, perform, and interpret diagnostic tests to obtain information on medical condition and determine diagnosis.Done hourly or more by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating. | 6% | 25 min13 min to 1.1 h | Stays with people | |
| Advise patients, parents or guardians, and community members concerning diet, activity, hygiene, and disease prevention.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 5% | 17 min8 min to 38 min | Stays with people | |
| Collect, record, and maintain patient information, such as medical history, reports, or examination results.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task. | 4% | 13 min4 min to 25 min | 100%Half by now | |
| Direct and coordinate activities of nurses, students, assistants, specialists, therapists, and other medical staff.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 4% | 25 min8 min to 50 min | Stays with people | |
| Explain procedures and discuss test results or prescribed treatments with patients and parents or guardians.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task. | 3% | 13 min4 min to 33 min | 100%Half by now | |
| Monitor patients' conditions and progress and reevaluate treatments as necessary.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 3% | 17 min8 min to 38 min | 100%Half by now |
Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.
Jobs that share skills with this one
From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
Where this job works
The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).
Where the most of these jobs are
The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).
Questions about this job
- How much of the work of Pediatricians, General is within reach of AI now?
- An estimated 32% of the working time is within reach of AI models now and 41% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five (40% to 41% across the three paces the site shows). Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
- Which tasks of Pediatricians, General come within reach first?
- Weighted by the time each takes, the tasks with the most within reach now (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) are: Plan and execute medical care programs to aid in the mental and physical growth and development of children and adolescents (79% of the task's time now, 100% by the end of 2028); Collect, record, and maintain patient information, such as medical history, reports, or examination results (100% of the task's time now); and Explain procedures and discuss test results or prescribed treatments with patients and parents or guardians (100% of the task's time now).
- Which tasks of Pediatricians, General stay with people?
- Tasks that are people work or body work are not counted as within reach at any date. The largest: Conduct research to study anatomy and develop or test medications, treatments, or procedures to prevent or control disease or injury; Treat children who have minor illnesses, acute and chronic health problems, and growth and development concerns; and Examine children regularly to assess their growth and development. Together such tasks are about 59% of the working time.
- Do people already use AI for the work of Pediatricians, General?
- In the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled for May 2026 and tied to a work task, 0.011% went to this job's tasks, the 396th largest share of the 447 jobs that showed up; 1 of its 17 tasks appeared. Anthropic's labor market measure puts the share of the job's tasks seen in real Claude use at work at 0%. These are measures of use, not of how much of the work AI could finish, and they cover Claude only.
- Can robots do the physical work of Pediatricians, General?
- Anthropic's robot exposure rating (September 2026) finds 47% of the working time is physical work, and that a robot has been shown doing most of the task, somewhere, for 0% of the working time. Its index is 0.00 of 3. A robot shown somewhere is not one in every workplace; this site's own estimates still count no physical work as within reach.
- How is this estimated?
- From the 17 tasks O*NET lists for the occupation, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval and a share of the working time, each classed as desk, people or body work, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. Data checked November 10, 2026.
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