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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN

Obstetricians and Gynecologists

In short: today's best AI models could do about 36% of this job's working time (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) if the work were set up for them, and about 47% by the end of 2028 if progress keeps its long-run pace. The people and hands-on work, about 52% of the time, stays with people.

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Provide medical care related to pregnancy or childbirth. Diagnose, treat, and help prevent diseases of women, particularly those affecting the reproductive system. May also provide general care to women. May perform both medical and gynecological surgery functions.

21,260 people do this job in the US. $292,910 a year.

A typical 40-hour week

Not yet reviewed task by task
  • AI could take on14 h
  • A person checks AI's work0 h
  • Desk work AI can't do yet5 h
  • Stays with people21 h

Obstetricians and Gynecologists, now: of a 40-hour week, AI could take on 14 hours, 0 hours become checking its work, 5 hours are desk work it can't do yet, and 21 hours stay with people.

The largest pieces: Analyze records, reports, test results, or examination information to diagnose medical condition of patient (about 5 h); Collect, record, and maintain patient information, such as medical histories, reports, or examination results (about 3 h); Explain procedures and discuss test results or prescribed treatments with patients (about 2 h).

Estimates for a typical week of this job, if progress keeps its long-run pace, counting work the best models finish four times in five. Every task is below.

now
36%

of the working time. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.

Kinds of work
  • 48%
  • 8%
  • 44%
7%

of the work: Anthropic's measure of what people already bring to Claude at work (2025). It counts help with part of a task, so it can be higher than the share within reach.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 48% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030
Change assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 2.4 work days long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 32%. Today's estimate: 36%.

0%10%20%30%40%50%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 10% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 14% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 20% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 20% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 23% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 24% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 32% within reachToday (estimate), November 2026: 36% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Measured use over time

Of the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled and tied to a work task, 0.016% went to this job's tasks in May 2026, the 341st largest of the 447 jobs that showed up at all; 2 of its 15 tasks showed up. Within each of Anthropic's methods, never across a change: 0.03% to 0.035% (released February and March 2025); 0.059% to 0.057% (August 2025 to February 2026); 0.013% to 0.016% (April to May 2026).

0%0.05%0.1%20252026released February 2025: 0.03%released March 2025: 0.035%the week of Aug 4, 2025: 0.059%the week of Nov 13, 2025: 0.055%the week of Feb 5, 2026: 0.057%April 2026: 0.013%May 2026: 0.016%
Each dot is one release's sample. A line joins releases made by the same method; a change of method starts a new line. Point at a dot for its window.
Each release
ConversationsShareRankTasks seen
Released February 20250.03%361 of 7086 of 15
Released March 20250.035%328 of 7036 of 15
The week of Aug 4, 20250.059%218 of 6555 of 15
The week of Nov 13, 20250.055%223 of 6725 of 15
The week of Feb 5, 20260.057%234 of 6776 of 15
April 20260.013%333 of 4342 of 15
May 20260.016%341 of 4472 of 15

Measured, not estimated: Anthropic's samples of Claude.ai conversations, each tied by a model to an O*NET task, from the Anthropic Economic Index. It says where Claude's use goes, not how much of this job's working time it covers, so it is not on the same scale as the reach above. The releases differ in their sample, their classifier and the smallest share they report (the June 2026 file rounds each task to a hundredth of a percent, so a smaller task reads as none), which is why a change of method starts a new line. At least 96% of each older release's task-tied use matched this site's tasks, and all of the newest. Claude.ai only, so use through other tools and other companies' models is not in it. Every job ranked.

Robots and the physical work

Anthropic rates 54% of this job's working time as physical work. For 0% of the working time, a robot has been shown doing most of the task somewhere. 0.00 of 3.

  • Not physical 46%
  • No robot shown 54%

Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. The robot behind each rated task is under the task below.

The tasks

Sorted by . 15 tasks from .

TaskKind
Care for and treat women during prenatal, natal, and postnatal periods.Done hourly or more by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating.24%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Plan, implement, or administer health programs in hospitals, businesses, or communities for prevention and treatment of injuries or illnesses.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 15%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.7 work weeks15%Half by Oct 2027
Analyze records, reports, test results, or examination information to diagnose medical condition of patient.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task.13%38 min17 min to 1.3 h100%Half by now
Treat diseases of female organs.Done hourly or more by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating.9%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Collect, record, and maintain patient information, such as medical histories, reports, or examination results.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task.8%25 min8 min to 1.1 h100%Half by now
Explain procedures and discuss test results or prescribed treatments with patients.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task.6%21 min8 min to 38 min100%Half by now
Direct and coordinate activities of nurses, students, assistants, specialists, therapists, and other medical staff.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 5%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Prescribe or administer therapy, medication, and other specialized medical care to treat or prevent illness, disease, or injury.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 4%21 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Perform cesarean sections or other surgical procedures as needed to preserve patients' health and deliver babies safely.Done more than weekly by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating.4%2.1 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Monitor patients' conditions and progress and reevaluate treatments as necessary.Done hourly or more by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating.4%17 min8 min to 38 min100%Half by now
Conduct research to develop or test medications, treatments, or procedures to prevent or control disease or injury.Done yearly or less by most who do it.3%2.5 work days6.7 h to 1 work weekStays with people
Prepare government and organizational reports on birth, death, and disease statistics, workforce evaluations, or the medical status of individuals.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 2%1.7 h25 min to 5 h94%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).

Questions about this job

How much of the work of Obstetricians and Gynecologists is within reach of AI now?
An estimated 36% of the working time is within reach of AI models now and 47% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five (42% to 48% across the three paces the site shows). Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
Which tasks of Obstetricians and Gynecologists come within reach first?
Weighted by the time each takes, the tasks with the most within reach now (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) are: Analyze records, reports, test results, or examination information to diagnose medical condition of patient (100% of the task's time now); Collect, record, and maintain patient information, such as medical histories, reports, or examination results (100% of the task's time now); and Explain procedures and discuss test results or prescribed treatments with patients (100% of the task's time now).
Which tasks of Obstetricians and Gynecologists stay with people?
Tasks that are people work or body work are not counted as within reach at any date. The largest: Care for and treat women during prenatal, natal, and postnatal periods; Treat diseases of female organs; and Direct and coordinate activities of nurses, students, assistants, specialists, therapists, and other medical staff. Together such tasks are about 52% of the working time.
Do people already use AI for the work of Obstetricians and Gynecologists?
In the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled for May 2026 and tied to a work task, 0.016% went to this job's tasks, the 341st largest share of the 447 jobs that showed up; 2 of its 15 tasks appeared. Anthropic's labor market measure puts the share of the job's tasks seen in real Claude use at work at 7%. These are measures of use, not of how much of the work AI could finish, and they cover Claude only.
Can robots do the physical work of Obstetricians and Gynecologists?
Anthropic's robot exposure rating (September 2026) finds 54% of the working time is physical work, and that a robot has been shown doing most of the task, somewhere, for 0% of the working time. Its index is 0.00 of 3. A robot shown somewhere is not one in every workplace; this site's own estimates still count no physical work as within reach.
How is this estimated?
From the 15 tasks O*NET lists for the occupation, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval and a share of the working time, each classed as desk, people or body work, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. Data checked November 10, 2026.

How the estimates are made

This job in your state or metro area
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