Industry group, 6211
Offices of Physicians
2,936,460 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $106,660 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 2.6 billion hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 55%
- 8%
- 37%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 33% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 5%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 40%. Today's estimate: 43%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 83% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 297,820 | 87% | 540 million | $45K |
| Medical Assistants | 452,150 | 41% | 387 million | $46K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 135,030 | 83% | 233 million | $40K |
| Nurse Practitioners | 148,600 | 64% | 198 million | $129K |
| Billing and Posting Clerks | 65,230 | 77% | 104 million | $48K |
| Registered Nurses | 232,420 | 21% | 101 million | $85K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers | 67,330 | 47% | 66 million | $63K |
| Medical Records Specialists | 34,860 | 89% | 65 million | $47K |
| Physician Assistants | 86,830 | 36% | 64 million | $132K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 41,820 | 67% | 58 million | $43K |
| Office Clerks, General | 43,610 | 58% | 53 million | $43K |
| Family Medicine Physicians | 73,970 | 33% | 50 million | $238K |
People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 246 smaller jobs (497,760 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 99% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Perform bookkeeping duties, such as credits or collections, preparing and sending financial statements or bills, and keeping financial records.Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants119 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Keep financial records or perform other bookkeeping duties, such as handling credit or collections or mailing monthly statements to patients.Medical Assistants77 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Explain treatment procedures, medications, diets, or physicians' instructions to patients.Medical Assistants74 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform general office duties, such as answering telephones, taking dictation, or completing insurance forms.Medical Assistants74 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Operate office equipment, such as voice mail messaging systems, and use word processing, spreadsheet, or other software applications to prepare reports, invoices, financial statements, letters, case histories, or medical records.Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants66 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses65 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Record patients' medical history, vital statistics, or information such as test results in medical records.Medical Assistants62 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Complete insurance or other claim forms.Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants57 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain medical records, technical library, or correspondence files.Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants56 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare correspondence or assist physicians or medical scientists with preparation of reports, speeches, articles, or conference proceedings.Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants49 million hours100% of the task within reach
Scan a typical company in this industry
The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.
Next to this industry
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Home Health Care Services1,789,480 people21% now, 26% by 2028
- Offices of Other Health Practitioners1,305,160 people39% now, 48% by 2028
- Outpatient Care Centers1,182,730 people36% now, 50% by 2028
- Offices of Dentists1,054,930 people37% now, 45% by 2028
- Other Ambulatory Health Care Services369,130 people22% now, 51% by 2028
- Medical and Diagnostic Laboratories309,310 people29% now, 42% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works