Industry group, 6216
Home Health Care Services
1,789,480 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $52,560 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 758 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 27%
- 9%
- 65%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 19%. Today's estimate: 21%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 26 largest jobs hold 95% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Personal Care Aides | 539,530 | 17% | 190 million | $36K |
| Home Health Aides | 539,530 | 14% | 160 million | $36K |
| Registered Nurses | 198,180 | 21% | 86 million | $85K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 22,280 | 87% | 40 million | $47K |
| Healthcare Social Workers | 26,430 | 42% | 23 million | $71K |
| Office Clerks, General | 19,040 | 58% | 23 million | $45K |
| Nursing Assistants | 70,770 | 15% | 22 million | $38K |
| Nurse Practitioners | 11,600 | 64% | 15 million | $129K |
| Physical Therapists | 30,920 | 22% | 14 million | $115K |
| Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses | 80,990 | 8% | 13 million | $64K |
| Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 7,700 | 69% | 11 million | $79K |
| Billing and Posting Clerks | 6,620 | 77% | 11 million | $48K |
People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 163 smaller jobs (87,370 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 100% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Provide patients and families with emotional support and instruction in areas such as caring for infants, preparing healthy meals, living independently, or adapting to disability or illness.Home Health Aides97 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Participate in case reviews, consulting with the team caring for the client, to evaluate the client's needs and plan for continuing services.Personal Care Aides77 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain records of patient care, condition, progress, or problems to report and discuss observations with supervisor or case manager.Home Health Aides64 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Provide clients with communication assistance, typing their correspondence or obtaining information for them.Personal Care Aides59 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses55 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare and maintain records of client progress and services performed, reporting changes in client condition to manager or supervisor.Personal Care Aides55 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Work with individuals, groups, or families to plan or implement programs designed to improve the overall health of communities.Registered Nurses27 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain accurate, detailed reports and records.Registered Nurses23 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Order, interpret, and evaluate diagnostic tests to identify and assess patient's condition.Registered Nurses12 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Modify patient treatment plans as indicated by patients' responses and conditions.Registered Nurses11 million hours100% of the task within reach
Scan a typical company in this industry
The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.
Next to this industry
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Offices of Physicians2,936,460 people43% now, 54% by 2028
- Offices of Other Health Practitioners1,305,160 people39% now, 48% by 2028
- Outpatient Care Centers1,182,730 people36% now, 50% by 2028
- Offices of Dentists1,054,930 people37% now, 45% by 2028
- Other Ambulatory Health Care Services369,130 people22% now, 51% by 2028
- Medical and Diagnostic Laboratories309,310 people29% now, 42% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works