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Medical and Health Services Managers

Plan, direct, or coordinate medical and health services in hospitals, clinics, managed care organizations, public health agencies, or similar organizations.

597,080 people do this job in the US. $123,860 a year.

now
11%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 88%
  • 10%
  • 2%
7%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
April 2028

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 88% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 8%. Today's estimate: 11%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 1% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 8% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 11% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 18 tasks from .

TaskKind
Develop and maintain computerized record management systems to store and process data, such as personnel activities and information, and to produce reports.Done daily by most who do it. 15%6.7 h1.7 h to 4.2 work days6%Half by Jan 2028
Manage change in integrated health care delivery systems, such as work restructuring, technological innovations, and shifts in the focus of care.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 15%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.7 work weeks1%Half by Sep 2028
Plan, implement, and administer programs and services in a health care or medical facility, including personnel administration, training, and coordination of medical, nursing and physical plant staff.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 15%4.2 work days6.7 h to 2.5 work weeks0%Half by Jan 2029
Develop or expand and implement medical programs or health services that promote research, rehabilitation, and community health.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 15%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.3 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Establish objectives and evaluative or operational criteria for units managed.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%5 h1.7 h to 1.7 work days17%Half by Apr 2027
Direct, supervise and evaluate work activities of medical, nursing, technical, clerical, service, maintenance, and other personnel.Done daily by most who do it. 4%1.3 h38 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Conduct and administer fiscal operations, including accounting, planning budgets, authorizing expenditures, establishing rates for services, and coordinating financial reporting.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%6.7 h1.7 h to 4.2 work days6%Half by Jan 2028
Develop and implement organizational policies and procedures for the facility or medical unit.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days15%Half by Jun 2027
Direct or conduct recruitment, hiring, and training of personnel.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work daysStays with people
Monitor the use of diagnostic services, inpatient beds, facilities, and staff to ensure effective use of resources and assess the need for additional staff, equipment, and services.Done daily by most who do it. 3%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026
Develop instructional materials and conduct in-service and community-based educational programs.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.3%5 h1.7 h to 1.7 work days17%Half by Apr 2027
Establish work schedules and assignments for staff, according to workload, space, and equipment availability.Done daily by most who do it. 3%1.7 h38 min to 5 h66%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).