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Photonics Engineers

Design technologies specializing in light information or light energy, such as laser or fiber optics technology.

$122,930 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

now
3%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 65%
  • 1%
  • 34%
7%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
October 2028

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 65% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 2%. Today's estimate: 3%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 2% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 3% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 26 tasks from .

TaskKind
Develop or test photonic prototypes or models.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 11%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.7 work weeksStays with people
Conduct research on new photonics technologies.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 11%2.1 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks1%Half by Apr 2028
Develop optical or imaging systems, such as optical imaging products, optical components, image processes, signal process technologies, or optical systems.Done daily by most who do it. 11%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.5 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Design, integrate, or test photonics systems or components.Done daily by most who do it. 11%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.5 work weeksStays with people
Design gas lasers, solid state lasers, infrared, or other light emitting or light sensitive devices.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 11%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.5 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Design electro-optical sensing or imaging systems.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.5 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Conduct testing to determine functionality or optimization or to establish limits of photonics systems or components.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1.7 work weeksStays with people
Determine applications of photonics appropriate to meet product objectives or features.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%6.7 h1.7 h to 4.2 work days6%Half by Jan 2028
Assist in the transition of photonic prototypes to production.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.7 work weeksStays with people
Design photonics products, such as light sources, displays, or photovoltaics, to achieve increased energy efficiency.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.5 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Write reports or proposals related to photonics research or development projects.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.7 work weeks1%Half by Sep 2028
Develop laser-processed designs, such as laser-cut medical devices.Done yearly or less by most who do it.3%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.5 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.