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Computer Hardware Engineers

Research, design, develop, or test computer or computer-related equipment for commercial, industrial, military, or scientific use. May supervise the manufacturing and installation of computer or computer-related equipment and components.

76,660 people do this job in the US. $161,740 a year.

now
8%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 93%
  • 6%
  • 1%
15%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
May 2028

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 93% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 5%. Today's estimate: 8%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 1% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 5% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 8% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 18 tasks from .

TaskKind
Design and develop computer hardware and support peripherals, including central processing units (CPUs), support logic, microprocessors, custom integrated circuits, and printers and disk drives.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 22%4.2 work days6.7 h to 4.2 work weeks0%Half by May 2029
Build, test, and modify product prototypes, using working models or theoretical models constructed with computer simulation.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 21%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.7 work weeks1%Half by Sep 2028
Write detailed functional specifications that document the hardware development process and support hardware introduction.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.12%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Test and verify hardware and support peripherals to ensure that they meet specifications and requirements, by recording and analyzing test data.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 11%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.7 work weeks1%Half by Sep 2028
Monitor functioning of equipment and make necessary modifications to ensure system operates in conformance with specifications.Done daily by most who do it. 7%3.3 h50 min to 2.1 work days18%Half by Jul 2027
Store, retrieve, and manipulate data for analysis of system capabilities and requirements.Done more than weekly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.4%2.5 h50 min to 1 work day40%Half by Dec 2026
Update knowledge and skills to keep up with rapid advancements in computer technology.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026
Evaluate factors such as reporting formats required, cost constraints, and need for security restrictions to determine hardware configuration.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days15%Half by Jun 2027
Direct technicians, engineering designers or other technical support personnel as needed.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 3%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Confer with engineering staff and consult specifications to evaluate interface between hardware and software and operational and performance requirements of overall system.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 3%1.7 h38 min to 5 hStays with people
Analyze user needs and recommend appropriate hardware.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.2%2.5 h50 min to 1 work day40%Half by Dec 2026
Provide technical support to designers, marketing and sales departments, suppliers, engineers and other team members throughout the product development and implementation process.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 2%1.7 h25 min to 6.7 h43%Half by Nov 2026

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).