Industry group, 3344
Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing
380,570 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $100,320 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
a year: 251 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 49%
- 14%
- 37%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 26% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 30% within reach now and 36% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
Change assumptionsHide assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
What handing the work over would take
For the 327,621 people in jobs so far, 86% of the industry's people; the others are in the totals above and join this split as the review reaches their jobs. Shares of their working time within reach now, at the pace and reliability chosen above. Estimates. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
about 184 million hours a year. The material can be handed to a model and the result handed back.
about 42 million hours a year. The model has to be connected to the system the work lives in.
about 55 million hours a year. Short enough by length. This site leaves conversation with people, so it is not in the totals.
What their work is made of
- 44%
- 7%
- 10%
- 6%
- 33%
Each task's time split among five kinds of doing, judged one task at a time; only documents and systems can count as within reach.
What changes for the people
For the 327,621 people in jobs reviewed task by task so far, by the end of 2028 on the long-run pace at four in five: the shares of their working time, from each job page's own map, weighted by how many people here do that job. It says which parts of the work change, never whether anyone keeps a job. Estimates.
Conversation, in-person and hands-on work.
Desk work within reach in tasks where a mistake costs something or a licensed person signs.
Desk work within reach that is small if wrong, with lighter checks.
What most people here would learn first
How many of them have each skill among the first two things to learn on their job's page. Every state, and the US
- Reviewing work you did not do yourself221,498 (68%)
- Briefing a model and checking its drafts188,118 (57%)
- The hands-on craft129,283 (39%)
- Judgment where errors are severe48,565 (15%)
- The conversations45,438 (14%)
- Running AI inside the business systems9,760 (3%)
- Dealing with people outside the organization5,720 (2%)
- Signing off under your license620 (under 1%)
- Handling protected records40 (under 1%)
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 13%. Today's estimate: 32%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Robots and the physical work
Anthropic rates 40% of the working time of the people in this industry as physical work. For 36% of the working time, a robot has been shown doing most of the task somewhere: 29% in a purpose-built cell, 7% in a structured facility. 0.43 of 3.
- Not physical 60%
- No robot shown 4%
- In a purpose-built cell 29%
- In a structured facility 7%
Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. Weighted by the people in each occupation; each job's page names the robot behind each rated task.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index. The 40 largest jobs hold 81% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industrial Engineers | 20,060 | 60% | 25 million | $108K |
| Software Developers | 19,770 | 48% | 20 million | $169K |
| Semiconductor Processing Technicians | 27,820 | 20% | 12 million | $52K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers | 9,810 | 48% | 9.7 million | $78K |
| Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers | 17,190 | 27% | 9.5 million | $49K |
| Computer Hardware Engineers | 18,120 | 23% | 8.8 million | $166K |
| Electrical and Electronic Engineering Technologists and Technicians | 9,690 | 39% | 7.8 million | $73K |
| Electronics Engineers, Except Computer | 13,560 | 26% | 7.4 million | $147K |
| Architectural and Engineering Managers | 7,670 | 41% | 6.5 million | $184K |
| Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks | 4,080 | 72% | 6.1 million | $59K |
| Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks | 5,250 | 53% | 5.8 million | $46K |
| General and Operations Managers | 6,080 | 45% | 5.7 million | $171K |
People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 156 smaller jobs (71,800 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 99% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Plan and establish sequence of operations to fabricate and assemble parts or products and to promote efficient utilization.Industrial Engineers6.7 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Design, develop and modify software systems, using scientific analysis and mathematical models to predict and measure outcomes and consequences of design.Software Developers6.6 million hours80% of the task within reach
- Design and develop computer hardware and support peripherals, including central processing units (CPUs), support logic, microprocessors, custom integrated circuits, and printers and disk drives.Computer Hardware Engineers6.1 million hours73% of the task within reach
- Modify existing software to correct errors, adapt it to new hardware, or upgrade interfaces and improve performance.Software Developers5.5 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Recommend methods for improving utilization of personnel, material, and utilities.Industrial Engineers5.1 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Develop manufacturing methods, labor utilization standards, and cost analysis systems to promote efficient staff and facility utilization.Industrial Engineers4.9 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Write detailed functional specifications that document the hardware development process and support hardware introduction.Computer Hardware Engineers4.6 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Monitor operation and adjust controls of processing machines and equipment to produce compositions with specific electronic properties, using computer terminals.Semiconductor Processing Technicians4.4 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Analyze user needs and software requirements to determine feasibility of design within time and cost constraints.Software Developers3.8 million hours70% of the task within reach
- Maintain processing, production, and inspection information and reports.Semiconductor Processing Technicians3.8 million hours100% of the task within reach
Scan a typical company in this industry
The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have. Or choose the whole industry: every occupation BLS publishes for it with task data, at its nationwide headcount, the sector report ($249 for the full report, or included in Pro).
Next to this industry
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
- Navigational, Measuring, Electromedical, and Control Instruments Manufacturing412,110 people36% now, 53% by 2028
- Computer and Peripheral Equipment Manufacturing103,330 people42% now, 61% by 2028
- Communications Equipment Manufacturing77,980 people39% now, 56% by 2028
- Audio and Video Equipment Manufacturing18,790 people35% now, 48% by 2028
- Manufacturing and Reproducing Magnetic and Optical Media9,530 people46% now, 61% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works
Questions about this industry
- How much of the work in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing is within reach of AI now?
- An estimated 32% of the paid hours in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing are within reach of AI models now and 47% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five (43% to 49% across the three paces the site shows). Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
- Which jobs in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing carry the most hours within reach?
- By hours within reach now (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index): Industrial Engineers (20,060 people, 60% of their time, about 25 million hours a year); Software Developers (19,770 people, 48% of their time, about 20 million hours a year); and Semiconductor Processing Technicians (27,820 people, 20% of their time, about 12 million hours a year).
- Which tasks in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing carry the most hours within reach by the end of 2028?
- Plan and establish sequence of operations to fabricate and assemble parts or products and to promote efficient utilization (Industrial Engineers, about 6.7 million hours a year); Design, develop and modify software systems, using scientific analysis and mathematical models to predict and measure outcomes and consequences of design (Software Developers, about 6.6 million hours a year); and Design and develop computer hardware and support peripherals, including central processing units (CPUs), support logic, microprocessors, custom integrated circuits, and printers and disk drives (Computer Hardware Engineers, about 6.1 million hours a year).
- What would people working in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing learn first?
- Among the 327,621 people in jobs reviewed task by task, the skills most often among the first two things to learn on their job's page are reviewing work you did not do yourself (221,498 people); briefing a model and checking its drafts (188,118 people); and the hands-on craft (129,283 people). By the end of 2028 on the long-run pace at four in five, about 49% of their working time stays with people, 45% becomes checking a model's work and 5% can be handed over with lighter checks. It says which parts of the work change, never whether anyone keeps a job.
- How is this estimated?
- BLS counts the people in each occupation in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing (May 2025); each occupation's share of working time within reach comes from its O*NET tasks, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. The industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Task data covers 99% of its people, and 86% are in occupations reviewed task by task. Data checked November 10, 2026.
Embed these figures on your site
A small card with the share of working time within reach now and at the end of 2027, 2028 and 2030, the date and a link back. Free under CC BY 4.0; the card carries the credit.