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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Industry group, 3341

Computer and Peripheral Equipment Manufacturing

103,330 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $122,050 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now
22%

of the paid hours. Estimate.

$3.4B

a year: 46 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work
  • 64%
  • 15%
  • 20%
6%

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 16% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 64% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 17%. Today's estimate: 22%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 4% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 6% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 8% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 8% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 17% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 22% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 76% of the people.

PeoplePay here
Software Developers13,43014%3.8 million$168K
Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Technical and Scientific Products3,68047%3.6 million$126K
Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks1,85063%2.4 million$37K
Computer User Support Specialists2,48042%2.2 million$81K
Project Management Specialists2,41033%1.7 million$137K
Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks1,28053%1.4 million$45K
Computer and Information Systems Managers2,72025%1.4 million$215K
Customer Service Representatives96064%1.3 million$50K
Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers2,39024%1.2 million$45K
Semiconductor Processing Technicians2,78020%1.1 million$49K
Sales Managers1,93028%1.1 million$216K
General and Operations Managers2,26023%1.1 million$180K

People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 108 smaller jobs (24,370 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 99% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.

  1. Modify existing software to correct errors, adapt it to new hardware, or upgrade interfaces and improve performance.Software Developers
    3.8 million hours100% of the task within reach
  2. Analyze user needs and software requirements to determine feasibility of design within time and cost constraints.Software Developers
    2.6 million hours70% of the task within reach
  3. Develop or direct software system testing or validation procedures, programming, or documentation.Software Developers
    2.4 million hours79% of the task within reach
  4. Design, develop and modify software systems, using scientific analysis and mathematical models to predict and measure outcomes and consequences of design.Software Developers
    2.1 million hours38% of the task within reach
  5. Determine system performance standards.Software Developers
    2 million hours98% of the task within reach
  6. Analyze information to determine, recommend, and plan installation of a new system or modification of an existing system.Software Developers
    1.8 million hours99% of the task within reach
  7. Store, retrieve, and manipulate data for analysis of system capabilities and requirements.Software Developers
    1.4 million hours100% of the task within reach
  8. Collect and analyze data on customer demographics, preferences, needs, and buying habits to identify potential markets and factors affecting product demand.Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists
    1.2 million hours90% of the task within reach
  9. Build, test, and modify product prototypes, using working models or theoretical models constructed with computer simulation.Computer Hardware Engineers
    964,620 hours62% of the task within reach
  10. Develop computer information resources, providing for data security and control, strategic computing, and disaster recovery.Computer and Information Systems Managers
    950,678 hours62% of the task within reach

Scan a typical company in this industry

The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.

Next to this industry

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works