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Mail Clerks and Mail Machine Operators, Except Postal Service

Prepare incoming and outgoing mail for distribution. Time-stamp, open, read, sort, and route incoming mail; and address, seal, stamp, fold, stuff, and affix postage to outgoing mail or packages. Duties may also include keeping necessary records and completed forms.

55,230 people do this job in the US. $39,280 a year.

now
7%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 7%
  • 0%
  • 93%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 7% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 7%. Today's estimate: 7%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 2% within reacho3, April 2025: 5% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 6% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 6% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 7% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 7% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 7% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 7% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 29 tasks from .

TaskKind
Sort and route incoming mail, and collect outgoing mail, using carts as necessary.Done daily by most who do it. 14%33 min17 min to 58 minStays with people
Place incoming or outgoing letters or packages into sacks or bins based on destination or type, and place identifying tags on sacks or bins.Done daily by most who do it. 7%21 min8 min to 38 minStays with people
Determine manner in which mail is to be sent, and prepare it for delivery to mailing facilities.Done daily by most who do it. 7%17 min8 min to 38 minStays with people
Verify that items are addressed correctly, marked with the proper postage, and in suitable condition for processing.Done daily by most who do it. 7%13 min4 min to 25 minStays with people
Mail merchandise samples or promotional literature in response to requests.Done hourly or more by most who do it.6%25 min8 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Weigh packages or letters to determine postage needed, using weighing scales and rate charts.Done daily by most who do it. 5%10 min4 min to 21 minStays with people
Operate computer-controlled keyboards or voice recognition equipment to direct items according to established routing schemes.Done daily by most who do it.4%17 min8 min to 38 minStays with people
Seal or open envelopes, by hand or by using machines.Done daily by most who do it. 4%10 min4 min to 21 minStays with people
Lift and unload containers of mail or parcels onto equipment for transportation to sortation stations.Done daily by most who do it. 4%13 min4 min to 25 minStays with people
Affix postage to packages or letters by hand, or stamp materials, using postage meters.Done daily by most who do it. 4%10 min4 min to 17 minStays with people
Read production orders to determine types and sizes of items scheduled for printing and mailing.Done daily by most who do it.4%13 min4 min to 25 min100%Half by now
Remove from machines printed materials, such as labeled articles, postmarked envelopes or tape, and folded sheets.Done daily by most who do it.4%13 min4 min to 25 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.