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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Industry group, 5131

Newspaper, Periodical, Book, and Directory Publishers

251,110 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $88,710 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now
34%

of the paid hours. Estimate.

$8.2B

a year: 173 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work
  • 70%
  • 17%
  • 13%
10%

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 24% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 70% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 27%. Today's estimate: 34%.

0%10%20%30%40%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 5% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 7% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 10% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 10% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 12% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 13% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 27% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 34% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 84% of the people.

PeoplePay here
Editors33,49046%32 million$74K
Advertising Sales Agents14,72054%16 million$52K
News Analysts, Reporters, and Journalists15,99036%12 million$53K
Graphic Designers8,87051%9.5 million$51K
Customer Service Representatives6,83064%9.1 million$48K
Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel8,99043%8 million$70K
Office Clerks, General5,91054%6.7 million$39K
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks3,97078%6.4 million$46K
General and Operations Managers11,08023%5.3 million$129K
Prepress Technicians and Workers2,44071%3.6 million$49K
Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products4,22036%3.1 million$70K
Sales Managers4,43028%2.6 million$150K

People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 113 smaller jobs (39,450 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 98% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.

  1. Oversee publication production, including artwork, layout, computer typesetting, and printing, ensuring adherence to deadlines and budget requirements.Editors
    9.8 million hours99% of the task within reach
  2. Write text, such as headlines, stories, articles, editorials, or newsletters.Editors
    6.8 million hours100% of the task within reach
  3. Plan the contents of publications according to the publication's style, editorial policy, and publishing requirements.Editors
    6.7 million hours100% of the task within reach
  4. Collect and analyze data on customer demographics, preferences, needs, and buying habits to identify potential markets and factors affecting product demand.Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists
    6.6 million hours90% of the task within reach
  5. Read, evaluate and edit manuscripts or other materials submitted for publication, and confer with authors regarding changes in content, style or organization, or publication.Editors
    5.5 million hours95% of the task within reach
  6. Prepare, rewrite and edit copy to improve readability, or supervise others who do this work.Editors
    5.4 million hours100% of the task within reach
  7. Identify new advertising markets, and propose products to serve them.Advertising Sales Agents
    4.9 million hours99% of the task within reach
  8. Monitor news-gathering operations to ensure utilization of all news sources, such as press releases, telephone contacts, radio, television, wire services, and other reporters.Editors
    4.3 million hours100% of the task within reach
  9. Maintain assigned account bases while developing new accounts.Advertising Sales Agents
    4.2 million hours100% of the task within reach
  10. Develop sales presentations or proposals to explain service specifications.Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel
    3.8 million hours100% of the task within reach

Scan a typical company in this industry

The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.

Next to this industry

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works