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Couriers and Messengers

Pick up and deliver messages, documents, packages, and other items between offices or departments within an establishment or directly to other business concerns, traveling by foot, bicycle, motorcycle, automobile, or public conveyance.

68,640 people do this job in the US. $39,200 a year.

now
7%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 7%
  • 0%
  • 93%
4%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 7% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 4%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 7%. Today's estimate: 7%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 1% within reacho1, December 2024: 2% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 4% within reacho3, April 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 7% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 7% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 7% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 7% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 7% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 7% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 7% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 16 tasks from .

TaskKind
Deliver and pick up medical records, lab specimens, and medications to and from hospitals and other medical facilities.Done daily by most who do it. 14%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Walk, ride bicycles, drive vehicles, or use public conveyances to reach destinations to deliver messages or materials.Done daily by most who do it. 13%25 min8 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Load vehicles with listed goods, ensuring goods are loaded correctly and taking precautions with hazardous goods.Done daily by most who do it. 9%25 min13 min to 50 minStays with people
Unload and sort items collected along delivery routes.Done daily by most who do it. 8%25 min13 min to 1.1 hStays with people
Plan and follow the most efficient routes for delivering goods.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.7%17 min8 min to 33 minStays with people
Deliver messages and items, such as newspapers, documents, and packages, between establishment departments and to other establishments and private homes.Done daily by most who do it. 7%21 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Unload goods from large trucks, and load them onto smaller delivery vehicles.Done daily by most who do it.7%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Sort items to be delivered according to the delivery route.Done daily by most who do it. 7%21 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Open, sort, and distribute incoming mail.Done daily by most who do it.6%38 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Perform general office or clerical work, such as filing materials, operating duplicating machines, or running errands.Done daily by most who do it.6%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Perform routine maintenance on delivery vehicles, such as monitoring fluid levels and replenishing fuel.Done daily by most who do it. 4%17 min8 min to 38 minStays with people
Record information, such as items received and delivered and recipients' responses to messages.Done daily by most who do it. 4%10 min4 min to 21 min100%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).