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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Industry group, 5411

Legal Services

1,224,710 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $115,940 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now
25%

of the paid hours. Estimate.

$32B

a year: 637 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work
  • 65%
  • 24%
  • 12%
6%

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 19% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 65% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 20%. Today's estimate: 25%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 4% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 5% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 7% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 7% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 9% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 9% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 20% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 25% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. The 30 largest jobs hold 95% of the people.

PeoplePay here
Paralegals and Legal Assistants304,82024%149 million$62K
Legal Secretaries and Administrative Assistants125,98041%108 million$55K
Lawyers448,04010%90 million$158K
Office Clerks, General30,70054%35 million$41K
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks20,99078%34 million$58K
Receptionists and Information Clerks25,02059%31 million$42K
Title Examiners, Abstractors, and Searchers19,26067%27 million$57K
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive23,51043%21 million$46K
Billing and Posting Clerks11,08077%18 million$60K
First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers20,34035%15 million$76K
Customer Service Representatives7,17064%9.6 million$46K
General and Operations Managers19,00023%9 million$114K

People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 105 smaller jobs (58,540 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 98% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.

  1. Prepare, edit, or review legal documents, including legislation, briefs, pleadings, appeals, wills, contracts, and real estate closing statements.Paralegals and Legal Assistants
    170 million hours99% of the task within reach
  2. Gather and analyze research data, such as statutes, decisions, and legal articles, codes, and documents.Paralegals and Legal Assistants
    98 million hours100% of the task within reach
  3. Investigate facts and law of cases and search pertinent sources, such as public records and internet sources, to determine causes of action and to prepare cases.Paralegals and Legal Assistants
    87 million hours99% of the task within reach
  4. Prepare for trial by performing tasks such as organizing exhibits.Paralegals and Legal Assistants
    82 million hours99% of the task within reach
  5. Prepare, draft, and review legal documents, such as wills, deeds, patent applications, mortgages, leases, and contracts.Lawyers
    66 million hours81% of the task within reach
  6. Analyze the probable outcomes of cases, using knowledge of legal precedents.Lawyers
    62 million hours100% of the task within reach
  7. Study Constitution, statutes, decisions, regulations, and ordinances of quasi-judicial bodies to determine ramifications for cases.Lawyers
    53 million hours95% of the task within reach
  8. Gather evidence to formulate defense or to initiate legal actions by such means as interviewing clients and witnesses to ascertain the facts of a case.Lawyers
    46 million hours46% of the task within reach
  9. Examine legal data to determine advisability of defending or prosecuting lawsuit.Lawyers
    43 million hours98% of the task within reach
  10. Evaluate findings and develop strategies and arguments in preparation for presentation of cases.Lawyers
    38 million hours92% of the task within reach

Scan a typical company in this industry

The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.

Next to this industry

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works