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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Sector, 54

Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services

10,800,470 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $108,640 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now
25%

of the paid hours. Estimate.

$319B

a year: 5.6 billion hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work
  • 71%
  • 12%
  • 17%
9%

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 71% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 21%. Today's estimate: 25%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 4% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 6% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 8% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 8% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 10% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 10% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 21% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 25% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 68% of the people.

PeoplePay here
Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel293,05069%418 million$84K
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks205,16076%326 million$52K
Project Management Specialists305,21045%283 million$108K
Customer Service Representatives183,70067%254 million$45K
Office Clerks, General194,89058%236 million$46K
Computer User Support Specialists211,73042%186 million$61K
Receptionists and Information Clerks103,42083%178 million$39K
General and Operations Managers438,72019%169 million$151K
Software Developers698,42011%164 million$133K
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive188,27039%153 million$49K
Paralegals and Legal Assistants310,49023%150 million$62K
Computer and Information Systems Managers209,76028%124 million$183K

People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 484 smaller jobs (3,461,480 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 99% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.

  1. Modify existing software to correct errors, adapt it to new hardware, or upgrade interfaces and improve performance.Software Developers
    195 million hours100% of the task within reach
  2. Analyze user needs and software requirements to determine feasibility of design within time and cost constraints.Software Developers
    193 million hours99% of the task within reach
  3. Prepare, edit, or review legal documents, including legislation, briefs, pleadings, appeals, wills, contracts, and real estate closing statements.Paralegals and Legal Assistants
    173 million hours99% of the task within reach
  4. Collect and analyze data on customer demographics, preferences, needs, and buying habits to identify potential markets and factors affecting product demand.Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists
    142 million hours90% of the task within reach
  5. Develop and implement records management program for filing, protection, and retrieval of records, and assure compliance with program.Management Analysts
    137 million hours76% of the task within reach
  6. Prepare, examine, or analyze accounting records, financial statements, or other financial reports to assess accuracy, completeness, and conformance to reporting and procedural standards.Accountants and Auditors
    127 million hours98% of the task within reach
  7. Develop sales presentations or proposals to explain service specifications.Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel
    125 million hours100% of the task within reach
  8. Analyze data gathered and develop solutions or alternative methods of proceeding.Management Analysts
    117 million hours98% of the task within reach
  9. Design, develop and modify software systems, using scientific analysis and mathematical models to predict and measure outcomes and consequences of design.Software Developers
    112 million hours38% of the task within reach
  10. Gather and organize information on problems or procedures.Management Analysts
    111 million hours100% of the task within reach

Scan a typical company in this industry

The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.

Inside this industry

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works