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Driver/Sales Workers

Drive truck or other vehicle over established routes or within an established territory and sell or deliver goods, such as food products, including restaurant take-out items, or pick up or deliver items such as commercial laundry. May also take orders, collect payment, or stock merchandise at point of delivery.

409,180 people do this job in the US. $38,770 a year.

now
12%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 12%
  • 0%
  • 88%
3%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 12% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 12%. Today's estimate: 13%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 2% within reacho3, April 2025: 8% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 10% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 11% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 11% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 12% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 12% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 12% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 13% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 11 tasks from .

TaskKind
Drive trucks to deliver such items as food, medical supplies, or newspapers.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 51%3.3 h1.7 h to 6.7 hStays with people
Sell food specialties, such as sandwiches and beverages, to office workers and patrons of sports events.Done hourly or more by most who do it.10%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Maintain trucks and food-dispensing equipment and clean inside of machines that dispense food or beverages.Done several times a day by most who do it. 9%50 min25 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Collect coins from vending machines, refill machines, and remove aged merchandise.Done hourly or more by most who do it.7%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Arrange merchandise and sales promotion displays or issue sales promotion materials to customers.Done daily by most who do it.6%33 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Record sales or delivery information on daily sales or delivery record.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 6%17 min8 min to 25 min100%Half by now
Listen to and resolve customers' complaints regarding products or services.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.3%21 min8 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Review lists of dealers, customers, or station drops and load trucks.Done daily by most who do it.3%1.3 h25 min to 2.1 hStays with people
Write customer orders and sales contracts according to company guidelines.Done several times a day by most who do it.2%21 min8 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Inform regular customers of new products or services and price changes.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 1%8 min4 min to 17 min100%Half by now
Collect money from customers, make change, and record transactions on customer receipts.Done daily by most who do it. 1.0%4 min2 min to 8 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).