First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers
Directly supervise and coordinate activities of workers engaged in firefighting and fire prevention and control.
99,140 people do this job in the US. $93,530 a year.
of the working time. Estimate.
- 29%
- 7%
- 64%
Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.
On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.
Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 17%. Today's estimate: 21%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
The tasks
Sorted by . 30 tasks from .
| Task | Kind | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serve as a working leader of an engine, hand, helicopter, or prescribed fire crew of three or more firefighters.Done daily by most who do it. | 14% | 2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h | Stays with people | |
| Provide emergency medical services as required, and perform light to heavy rescue functions at emergencies.Done daily by most who do it. | 8% | 1.7 h25 min to 4.2 h | Stays with people | |
| Inspect stations, uniforms, equipment, or recreation areas to ensure compliance with safety standards, taking corrective action as necessary.Done daily by most who do it. | 6% | 1.7 h25 min to 3.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Direct firefighters in station maintenance duties, and participate in these duties.Done daily by most who do it. | 6% | 1.3 h25 min to 2.5 h | Stays with people | |
| Perform administrative duties, such as compiling and maintaining records, completing forms, preparing reports, or composing correspondence.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task. | 5% | 50 min13 min to 3.3 h | 69%Half by now | |
| Evaluate fire station procedures to ensure efficiency and enforcement of departmental regulations.Done daily by most who do it. | 5% | 1.7 h38 min to 3.3 h | 80%Half by now | |
| Maintain required maps and records.Done daily by most who do it. | 4% | 1.3 h25 min to 2.5 h | 87%Half by now | |
| Direct investigation of cases of suspected arson, hazards, and false alarms and submit reports outlining findings.Done more than yearly by most who do it. | 4% | 3.3 h1.7 h to 1 work day | Stays with people | |
| Maintain fire suppression equipment in good condition, checking equipment periodically to ensure that it is ready for use.Done daily by most who do it. | 4% | 50 min25 min to 1.7 h | Stays with people | |
| Perform maintenance and minor repairs on firefighting equipment, including vehicles, and write and submit proposals to modify, replace, and repair equipment.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 4% | 1.7 h38 min to 3.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Schedule employee work assignments and set work priorities.Done daily by most who do it. | 4% | 1.3 h25 min to 2.5 h | 87%Half by now | |
| Instruct and drill fire department personnel in assigned duties, including firefighting, medical care, hazardous materials response, fire prevention, and related subjects.Done daily by most who do it. | 4% | 1.7 h50 min to 3.3 h | Stays with people |
Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.
Jobs that share skills with this one
From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Firefighters3% now, 3% by 2028
- Forest Fire Inspectors and Prevention Specialists15% now, 16% by 2028
- Fire Inspectors and Investigators15% now, 54% by 2028
- Fire-Prevention and Protection Engineers5% now, 61% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers20% now, 37% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives29% now, 53% by 2028
Where this job works
The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).
Where the most of these jobs are
The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).