Industry group, 4871
Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation, Land
11,110 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $50,680 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 4.5 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 32%
- 9%
- 59%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 20%. Today's estimate: 22%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 32 largest jobs hold 95% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travel Guides | 1,220 | 24% | 598,877 | $44K |
| Reservation and Transportation Ticket Agents and Travel Clerks | 380 | 74% | 581,734 | $40K |
| Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity | 2,150 | 11% | 487,448 | $50K |
| Office Clerks, General | 260 | 54% | 293,655 | $49K |
| Shuttle Drivers and Chauffeurs | 490 | 28% | 286,395 | $36K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 200 | 64% | 267,904 | $37K |
| Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 290 | 43% | 259,377 | $39K |
| Tour Guides and Escorts | 1,220 | 9% | 238,536 | $44K |
| General and Operations Managers | 450 | 23% | 213,409 | $89K |
| Dispatchers, Except Police, Fire, and Ambulance | 110 | 80% | 182,125 | $50K |
| Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters | 250 | 32% | 166,920 | $49K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 130 | 43% | 115,191 | $44K |
People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 16 smaller jobs (470 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 88% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Research various topics, including site history, environmental conditions, and clients' skills and abilities to plan appropriate expeditions, instruction, and commentary.Tour Guides and Escorts444,838 hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan tour itineraries, applying knowledge of travel routes and destination sites.Travel Guides344,103 hours100% of the task within reach
- Arrange for tour or expedition details such as accommodations, transportation, equipment, and the availability of medical personnel.Travel Guides333,041 hours100% of the task within reach
- Record information, such as cash receipts and ticket fares, and maintain log book.Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity231,068 hours100% of the task within reach
- Report delays or accidents.Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity171,546 hours100% of the task within reach
- Develop sales presentations or proposals to explain service specifications.Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel123,875 hours100% of the task within reach
- Evaluate services received on the tour, and report findings to tour organizers.Travel Guides120,838 hours100% of the task within reach
- Make and confirm reservations for transportation and accommodations, using telephones, faxes, mail, and computers.Reservation and Transportation Ticket Agents and Travel Clerks120,481 hours100% of the task within reach
- Select travel routes and sites to be visited based on knowledge of specific areas.Tour Guides and Escorts100,485 hours100% of the task within reach
- Resolve any problems with itineraries, service, or accommodations.Travel Guides89,932 hours100% of the task within reach
Scan a typical company in this industry
The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.
Next to this industry
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works