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Travel Guides

Plan, organize, and conduct long-distance travel, tours, and expeditions for individuals and groups.

$38,120 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

now
24%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 41%
  • 5%
  • 54%
n/a

Anthropic's data does not cover this job.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 41% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 18%. Today's estimate: 24%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 3% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 5% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 5% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 6% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 6% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 18% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 24% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 17 tasks from .

TaskKind
Lead individuals or groups to tour site locations and describe points of interest.Done more than monthly by most who do it.18%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Plan tour itineraries, applying knowledge of travel routes and destination sites.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.14%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026
Pilot airplanes or drive land and water vehicles to transport tourists to activity or tour sites.Done daily by most who do it.14%2.5 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Arrange for tour or expedition details such as accommodations, transportation, equipment, and the availability of medical personnel.Done daily by most who do it. 13%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026
Instruct novices in climbing techniques, mountaineering, and wilderness survival, and demonstrate use of hunting, fishing, and climbing equipment.Done more than weekly by most who do it.10%3.3 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Sell travel packages.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 5%50 min17 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Set up camps, and prepare meals for tour group members.Done daily by most who do it.5%2.5 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Evaluate services received on the tour, and report findings to tour organizers.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 h65%Half by now
Resolve any problems with itineraries, service, or accommodations.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.4%38 min13 min to 2.5 h86%Half by now
Attend to special needs of tour participants.Done daily by most who do it. 3%38 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Verify amounts and quality of equipment prior to expeditions or tours.Done daily by most who do it.3%50 min25 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Sell or rent equipment, clothing, and supplies related to expeditions.Done daily by most who do it.2%25 min8 min to 1.3 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.