Industry group, 4879
Scenic and Sightseeing Transportation, Other
2,620 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $69,440 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 1.2 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 37%
- 10%
- 53%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 24% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 3%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 28%. Today's estimate: 30%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 12 largest jobs hold 96% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commercial Pilots | 630 | 24% | 318,427 | $80K |
| Reservation and Transportation Ticket Agents and Travel Clerks | 160 | 74% | 244,941 | $48K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 70 | 64% | 93,766 | $48K |
| General and Operations Managers | 170 | 23% | 80,621 | $82K |
| Office Clerks, General | 70 | 54% | 79,061 | $45K |
| Shuttle Drivers and Chauffeurs | 100 | 28% | 58,448 | $50K |
| Travel Guides | 105 | 24% | 51,543 | $43K |
| Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 50 | 43% | 44,720 | $44K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 50 | 43% | 44,304 | $52K |
| Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians | 250 | 7% | 34,840 | $75K |
| Tour Guides and Escorts | 105 | 9% | 20,530 | $43K |
| Aircraft Service Attendants | 60 | 15% | 18,845 | $35K |
People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 2 smaller jobs (80 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 73% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Choose routes, altitudes, and speeds that will provide the fastest, safest, and smoothest flights.Commercial Pilots60,540 hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.Commercial Pilots59,925 hours100% of the task within reach
- Make and confirm reservations for transportation and accommodations, using telephones, faxes, mail, and computers.Reservation and Transportation Ticket Agents and Travel Clerks50,729 hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan and formulate flight activities and test schedules and prepare flight evaluation reports.Commercial Pilots48,146 hours100% of the task within reach
- Order changes in fuel supplies, loads, routes, or schedules to ensure safety of flights.Commercial Pilots39,024 hours100% of the task within reach
- Research various topics, including site history, environmental conditions, and clients' skills and abilities to plan appropriate expeditions, instruction, and commentary.Tour Guides and Escorts38,285 hours100% of the task within reach
- Obtain and review data such as load weights, fuel supplies, weather conditions, and flight schedules to determine flight plans and identify needed changes.Commercial Pilots37,438 hours100% of the task within reach
- Coordinate flight activities with ground crews and air traffic control, and inform crew members of flight and test procedures.Commercial Pilots37,163 hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare customer invoices and accept payment.Reservation and Transportation Ticket Agents and Travel Clerks35,919 hours100% of the task within reach
- Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.Commercial Pilots30,532 hours100% of the task within reach
Scan a typical company in this industry
The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.
Next to this industry
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works