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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Metro area, Connecticut

Norwich-New London-Willimantic, CT

126,450 people work in this area, at mean pay of $71,810 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now
21%

of the paid hours. Estimate.

$2.3B

a year: 48 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work
  • 36%
  • 18%
  • 46%
4%

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 36% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 19%. Today's estimate: 21%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 2% within reacho3, April 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 7% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 10% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 10% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 11% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 11% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 19% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 21% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 51% of the people.

PeoplePay here
Office Clerks, General1,58054%1.8 million$49K
Customer Service Representatives1,24064%1.7 million$45K
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks91078%1.5 million$58K
Retail Salespersons3,58019%1.4 million$36K
Registered Nurses2,46028%1.4 million$101K
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive1,41043%1.2 million$54K
Receptionists and Information Clerks1,01059%1.2 million$38K
First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers1,66035%1.2 million$74K
Cashiers2,82019%1.1 million$35K
General and Operations Managers2,14023%1 million$127K
First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers1,10040%924,354$52K
Stockers and Order Fillers1,97019%778,544$36K

People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 336 smaller jobs (52,960 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 86% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.

  1. Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons
    433,790 hours50% of the task within reach
  2. Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers
    414,639 hours100% of the task within reach
  3. Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses
    412,166 hours60% of the task within reach
  4. Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General
    395,748 hours100% of the task within reach
  5. Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.Bartenders
    330,706 hours50% of the task within reach
  6. Perform administrative support tasks, such as proofreading, transcribing handwritten information, or operating calculators or computers to work with pay records, invoices, balance sheets, or other documents.Receptionists and Information Clerks
    312,935 hours100% of the task within reach
  7. Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive
    308,810 hours53% of the task within reach
  8. Modify existing software to correct errors, adapt it to new hardware, or upgrade interfaces and improve performance.Software Developers
    296,010 hours100% of the task within reach
  9. Operate computers programmed with accounting software to record, store, and analyze information.Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks
    295,939 hours100% of the task within reach
  10. Compile and maintain non-monetary reports and records.Cashiers
    295,450 hours100% of the task within reach

Other areas in Connecticut

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works