Nonmetro area, Minnesota
Northeast Minnesota nonmetropolitan area
43,950 people work in this area, at mean pay of $57,190 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 17 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 30%
- 19%
- 51%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 19%. Today's estimate: 21%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 62% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office Clerks, General | 850 | 54% | 960,025 | $46K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 460 | 78% | 742,478 | $50K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 540 | 64% | 723,341 | $44K |
| Cashiers | 1,740 | 19% | 669,552 | $30K |
| Registered Nurses | 1,020 | 28% | 589,806 | $89K |
| General and Operations Managers | 1,180 | 23% | 559,607 | $75K |
| Retail Salespersons | 1,060 | 19% | 427,731 | $35K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 480 | 43% | 425,319 | $47K |
| Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education | 620 | 30% | 384,301 | $63K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 450 | 40% | 378,145 | $39K |
| Hotel, Motel, and Resort Desk Clerks | 280 | 54% | 312,749 | $35K |
| Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education | 400 | 32% | 267,072 | $64K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 182 smaller jobs (14,480 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 88% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers255,841 hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.Bartenders253,542 hours50% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General212,903 hours100% of the task within reach
- Compile and maintain non-monetary reports and records.Cashiers182,299 hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses170,898 hours60% of the task within reach
- Direct and coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with the production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products.General and Operations Managers150,886 hours40% of the task within reach
- Operate computers programmed with accounting software to record, store, and analyze information.Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks149,596 hours100% of the task within reach
- Set prices or credit terms for goods or services, based on forecasts of customer demand.General and Operations Managers144,250 hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare staff work schedules and assign specific duties.General and Operations Managers135,914 hours80% of the task within reach
- Attend training classes to maintain certification licensure, keep abreast of new developments in the field, or maintain existing knowledge.A job in this area134,178 hours99% of the task within reach
Other areas in Minnesota
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI1,951,650 people22% now, 38% by 2028
- Northwest Minnesota nonmetropolitan area193,040 people21% now, 31% by 2028
- Southeast Minnesota nonmetropolitan area154,300 people20% now, 31% by 2028
- Duluth, MN-WI124,710 people22% now, 33% by 2028
- Rochester, MN122,980 people24% now, 36% by 2028
- Southwest Minnesota nonmetropolitan area117,590 people20% now, 30% by 2028
- St. Cloud, MN103,920 people22% now, 33% by 2028
- Mankato, MN56,180 people22% now, 33% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works