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Substitute Teachers, Short-Term

Teach students on a short-term basis as a temporary replacement for a regular classroom teacher, typically using the regular teacher's lesson plan.

524,770 people do this job in the US. $41,670 a year.

now
7%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 15%
  • 0%
  • 85%
n/a

Anthropic's data does not cover this job.

Half the desk work within reach
November 2026

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 15% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 5%. Today's estimate: 7%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 1% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 5% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 7% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 18 tasks from .

TaskKind
Enforce school and class rules to maintain order in the classroom.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 15%33 min13 min to 1.1 hStays with people
Follow lesson plans designed by absent teachers.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 13%38 min25 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Attend professional meetings, educational conferences, or teacher training workshops to improve professional competence.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 12%3.3 h50 min to 6.7 h32%Half by Jan 2027
Teach a variety of subjects, such as English, mathematics, and social studies.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 11%50 min25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Teach social skills to students, such as communication, conflict resolution, and etiquette.Done daily by most who do it. 8%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Supervise students during activities outside the classroom, such as recess, lunch, and field trips.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 7%33 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Answer students' questions.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 5%13 min4 min to 25 minStays with people
Tutor or assist students individually or in small groups.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Distribute teaching materials, such as textbooks, workbooks, papers, and pencils, to students.Done daily by most who do it. 4%13 min4 min to 25 minStays with people
Organize and supervise games or other recreational activities.Done more than monthly by most who do it.4%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Counsel students with adjustment or academic problems.Done daily by most who do it. 4%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Grade students' assignments and exams.Done more than yearly by most who do it.3%38 min13 min to 2.5 h86%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).