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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Industry group, 6117

Educational Support Services

265,600 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $75,300 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now
30%

of the paid hours. Estimate.

$6.4B

a year: 143 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work
  • 60%
  • 23%
  • 17%
9%

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 21% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 60% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 26%. Today's estimate: 30%.

0%10%20%30%40%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 5% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 7% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 11% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 11% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 14% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 14% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 26% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 30% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 80% of the people.

PeoplePay here
Tutors21,13066%29 million$43K
Instructional Coordinators22,75017%7.9 million$73K
Educational, Guidance, and Career Counselors and Advisors10,79034%7.6 million$60K
Office Clerks, General5,42054%6.1 million$43K
Customer Service Representatives4,10064%5.5 million$48K
Self-Enrichment Teachers4,64054%5.2 million$55K
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive5,67043%5 million$48K
Speech-Language Pathologists3,27071%4.8 million$83K
General and Operations Managers10,06023%4.8 million$127K
Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel5,30043%4.7 million$80K
Mental Health Counselors2,38565%3.2 million$59K
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks1,93078%3.1 million$52K

People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 153 smaller jobs (46,300 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 86% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.

  1. Plan and conduct teacher training programs and conferences dealing with new classroom procedures, instructional materials and equipment, and teaching aids.Instructional Coordinators
    7.6 million hours99% of the task within reach
  2. Provide private instruction to individual or small groups of students to improve academic performance, improve occupational skills, or prepare for academic or occupational tests.Tutors
    7.5 million hours100% of the task within reach
  3. Review class material with students by discussing text, working solutions to problems, or reviewing worksheets or other assignments.Tutors
    6.2 million hours100% of the task within reach
  4. Develop master course documentation or manuals according to applicable accreditation, certification, or other requirements.Instructional Coordinators
    3.2 million hours85% of the task within reach
  5. Identify, develop, or implement intervention strategies, tutoring plans, or individualized education plans (IEPs) for students.Tutors
    3.1 million hours100% of the task within reach
  6. Update the content of educational programs to ensure that students are being trained with equipment and processes that are technologically current.Instructional Coordinators
    3 million hours92% of the task within reach
  7. Research, evaluate, and prepare recommendations on curricula, instructional methods, and materials for school systems.Instructional Coordinators
    2.8 million hours94% of the task within reach
  8. Assess students' progress throughout tutoring sessions.Tutors
    2.5 million hours100% of the task within reach
  9. Observe work of teaching staff to evaluate performance and to recommend changes that could strengthen teaching skills.Instructional Coordinators
    2.5 million hours100% of the task within reach
  10. Design learning products, including Web-based aids or electronic performance support systems.Instructional Coordinators
    2.4 million hours78% of the task within reach

Scan a typical company in this industry

The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.

Next to this industry

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works