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Training and Development Specialists

Design or conduct work-related training and development programs to improve individual skills or organizational performance. May analyze organizational training needs or evaluate training effectiveness.

458,300 people do this job in the US. $69,280 a year.

now
21%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 69%
  • 31%
  • 0%
28%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
March 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 69% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 15%. Today's estimate: 21%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 3% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 15% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 21% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 20 tasks from .

TaskKind
Design, plan, organize, or direct orientation and training programs for employees or customers.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.17%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people
Evaluate modes of training delivery, such as in-person or virtual, to optimize training effectiveness, training costs, or environmental impacts.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 13%5 h1.7 h to 1.7 work days17%Half by Apr 2027
Assess training needs through surveys, interviews with employees, focus groups, or consultation with managers, instructors, or customer representatives.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.10%1.3 work days2.5 h to 3.1 work days4%Half by Dec 2027
Present information with a variety of instructional techniques or formats, such as role playing, simulations, team exercises, group discussions, videos, or lectures.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 10%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Obtain, organize, or develop training procedure manuals, guides, or course materials, such as handouts or visual materials.Done more than weekly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.8%3.3 h1.7 h to 1.3 work days38%Half by Nov 2026
Devise programs to develop executive potential among employees in lower-level positions.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 7%2.5 work days6.7 h to 1.3 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2028
Coordinate recruitment and placement of training program participants.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%3.3 h1.3 h to 1.7 work days27%Half by Mar 2027
Develop alternative training methods if expected improvements are not seen.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days15%Half by Jun 2027
Monitor, evaluate, or record training activities or program effectiveness.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 5%2.5 h50 min to 1.3 work days35%Half by Jan 2027
Offer specific training programs to help workers maintain or improve job skills.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%1.7 h50 min to 5 h76%Half by now
Keep up with developments in area of expertise by reading current journals, books, or magazine articles.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 h87%Half by now
Negotiate contracts with clients for desired training outcomes, fees, or expenses.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%3.3 h1.7 h to 1.7 work daysStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.