Industry group, 6115
Technical and Trade Schools
153,950 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $72,850 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 80 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 58%
- 16%
- 26%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 21% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 23%. Today's estimate: 27%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 86% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career/Technical Education Teachers, Postsecondary | 45,860 | 24% | 23 million | $61K |
| Office Clerks, General | 4,830 | 54% | 5.5 million | $41K |
| Self-Enrichment Teachers | 3,740 | 54% | 4.2 million | $65K |
| Educational, Guidance, and Career Counselors and Advisors | 5,660 | 34% | 4 million | $56K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 4,010 | 43% | 3.6 million | $46K |
| Commercial Pilots | 6,010 | 24% | 3 million | $94K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 2,320 | 59% | 2.8 million | $36K |
| Training and Development Specialists | 5,850 | 21% | 2.6 million | $84K |
| Credit Counselors | 1,500 | 73% | 2.3 million | $52K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 1,690 | 64% | 2.3 million | $47K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 1,340 | 78% | 2.2 million | $55K |
| General and Operations Managers | 3,660 | 23% | 1.7 million | $96K |
People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 153 smaller jobs (19,880 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 91% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Integrate academic and vocational curricula so that students can obtain a variety of skills.Career/Technical Education Teachers, Postsecondary19 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Develop curricula and plan course content and methods of instruction.Career/Technical Education Teachers, Postsecondary12 million hours94% of the task within reach
- Determine training needs of students or workers.Career/Technical Education Teachers, Postsecondary5.7 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Observe and evaluate students' work to determine progress, provide feedback, and make suggestions for improvement.Career/Technical Education Teachers, Postsecondary4.3 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare outlines of instructional programs and training schedules and establish course goals.Career/Technical Education Teachers, Postsecondary4.3 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Provide individualized instruction and tutorial or remedial instruction.Career/Technical Education Teachers, Postsecondary3.8 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Develop teaching aids, such as instructional software, multimedia visual aids, or study materials.Career/Technical Education Teachers, Postsecondary3.1 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Administer oral, written, or performance tests to measure progress and to evaluate training effectiveness.Career/Technical Education Teachers, Postsecondary1.9 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare reports and maintain records, such as student grades, attendance rolls, and training activity details.Career/Technical Education Teachers, Postsecondary1.8 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Evaluate modes of training delivery, such as in-person or virtual, to optimize training effectiveness, training costs, or environmental impacts.Training and Development Specialists1.5 million hours100% of the task within reach
Scan a typical company in this industry
The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.
Next to this industry
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Elementary and Secondary Schools8,919,090 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Colleges, Universities, and Professional Schools3,216,330 people23% now, 54% by 2028
- Junior Colleges656,220 people26% now, 55% by 2028
- Other Schools and Instruction558,700 people43% now, 54% by 2028
- Educational Support Services265,600 people30% now, 57% by 2028
- Business Schools and Computer and Management Training82,160 people28% now, 66% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works