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Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators

Lay, repair, and maintain track for standard or narrow-gauge railroad equipment used in regular railroad service or in plant yards, quarries, sand and gravel pits, and mines. Includes ballast cleaning machine operators and railroad bed tamping machine operators.

19,580 people do this job in the US. $70,070 a year.

now
0%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 0%
  • 0%
  • 100%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
No desk work

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 0% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 0%. Today's estimate: 0%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 0% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 0% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 26 tasks from .

TaskKind
Drive vehicles that automatically move and lay tracks or rails over sections of track to be constructed, repaired, or maintained.Done daily by most who do it. 16%1.7 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Patrol assigned track sections so that damaged or broken track can be located and reported.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 9%1.7 h50 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Dress and reshape worn or damaged railroad switch points or frogs, using portable power grinders.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 9%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Clean, grade, or level ballast on railroad tracks.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 7%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Operate track wrenches to tighten or loosen bolts at joints that hold ends of rails together.Done daily by most who do it. 7%25 min8 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Operate single- or multiple-head spike driving machines to drive spikes into ties and secure rails.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 6%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Repair or adjust track switches, using wrenches and replacement parts.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Weld sections of track together, such as switch points and frogs.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%2.5 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Engage mechanisms that lay tracks or rails to specified gauges.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Operate single- or multiple-head spike pullers to pull old spikes from ties.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Drill holes through rails, tie plates, or fishplates for insertion of bolts or spikes, using power drills.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 3%38 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Clean tracks or clear ice or snow from tracks or switch boxes.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%50 min17 min to 2.5 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).