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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Nannies

Care for children in private households and provide support and expertise to parents in satisfying children's physical, emotional, intellectual, and social needs. Duties may include meal planning and preparation, laundry and clothing care, organization of play activities and outings, discipline, intellectual stimulation, language activities, and transportation.

$34,980 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

now
12%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 12%
  • 4%
  • 84%
1%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 12% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 12%. Today's estimate: 12%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 4% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 7% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 7% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 8% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 8% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 12% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 12% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 19 tasks from .

TaskKind
Organize and conduct age-appropriate recreational activities, such as games, arts and crafts, sports, walks, and play dates.Done daily by most who do it. 14%1.1 h25 min to 2.1 hStays with people
Teach and perform age-appropriate activities, such as lap play, reading, and arts and crafts, to encourage intellectual development of children.Done several times a day by most who do it. 11%38 min17 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Model appropriate social behaviors and encourage concern for others to cultivate development of interpersonal relationships and communication skills.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 10%25 min13 min to 50 minStays with people
Instruct and assist children in the development of health and personal habits, such as eating, resting, and toilet behavior.Done several times a day by most who do it. 9%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Perform housekeeping and cleaning duties related to children's care.Done daily by most who do it. 9%38 min17 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Help prepare and serve nutritionally balanced meals and snacks for children.Done several times a day by most who do it. 8%33 min17 min to 1.1 hStays with people
Remove hazards and develop appropriate boundaries and rules to create a safe environment for children.Done several times a day by most who do it. 7%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Help develop or monitor family schedule.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%33 min13 min to 1.3 h99%Half by now
Keep records of play, meal schedules, and bill payment.Done daily by most who do it. 4%25 min8 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Work with parents to develop and implement discipline programs to promote desirable child behavior.Done daily by most who do it. 4%38 min17 min to 1.3 h100%Half by now
Transport children to schools, social outings, and medical appointments.Done daily by most who do it. 4%38 min17 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Instruct children in safe behavior, such as seeking adult assistance when crossing the street and avoiding contact with unsafe objects.Done several times a day by most who do it. 3%13 min4 min to 25 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.