Nannies
In short: today's best AI models could do about 12% of this job's working time (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) if the work were set up for them, and about the same by the end of 2028 if progress keeps its long-run pace. The people and hands-on work, about 88% of the time, stays with people.
Care for children in private households and provide support and expertise to parents in satisfying children's physical, emotional, intellectual, and social needs. Duties may include meal planning and preparation, laundry and clothing care, organization of play activities and outings, discipline, intellectual stimulation, language activities, and transportation.
$34,980 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).
A typical 40-hour week
Not yet reviewed task by task- AI could take on5 h
- A person checks AI's work0 h
- Desk work AI can't do yet0 h
- Stays with people35 h
Nannies, now: of a 40-hour week, AI could take on 5 hours, 0 hours become checking its work, 0 hours are desk work it can't do yet, and 35 hours stay with people.
The largest pieces: Help develop or monitor family schedule (about 2 h); Keep records of play, meal schedules, and bill payment (about 2 h); Work with parents to develop and implement discipline programs to promote desirable child behavior (about 2 h).
Estimates for a typical week of this job, if progress keeps its long-run pace, counting work the best models finish four times in five. Every task is below.
of the working time. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
- 12%
- 4%
- 84%
of the work: Anthropic's measure of what people already bring to Claude at work (2025). It counts help with part of a task, so it can be higher than the share within reach.
On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.
Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030
Change assumptionsHide assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 2.4 work days long four times in five.
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 12%. Today's estimate: 12%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Measured use over time
Of the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled and tied to a work task, no reportable share went to this job's tasks in May 2026; 0 of its 19 tasks showed up. Within each of Anthropic's methods, never across a change: 0.014% to 0.013% (released February and March 2025); 0.0041% to 0.011% (August 2025 to February 2026).
Each release
| Conversations | Share | Rank | Tasks seen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Released February 2025 | 0.014% | 492 of 708 | 4 of 19 |
| Released March 2025 | 0.013% | 476 of 703 | 3 of 19 |
| The week of Aug 4, 2025 (released September 2025) | 0.0041% | 557 of 655 | 1 of 19 |
| The week of Nov 13, 2025 (released January 2026) | 0.0082% | 508 of 672 | 3 of 19 |
| The week of Feb 5, 2026 (released March 2026) | 0.011% | 488 of 677 | 3 of 19 |
| April 2026 (released June 2026) | none | n/a | 0 of 19 |
| May 2026 (released June 2026) | none | n/a | 0 of 19 |
Measured, not estimated: Anthropic's samples of Claude.ai conversations, each tied by a model to an O*NET task, from the Anthropic Economic Index. It says where Claude's use goes, not how much of this job's working time it covers, so it is not on the same scale as the reach above. The releases differ in their sample, their classifier and the smallest share they report (the June 2026 file rounds each task to a hundredth of a percent, so a smaller task reads as none), which is why a change of method starts a new line. At least 96% of each older release's task-tied use matched this site's tasks, and all of the newest. Claude.ai only, so use through other tools and other companies' models is not in it. Every job ranked.
Robots and the physical work
Anthropic rates 79% of this job's working time as physical work. For 24% of the working time, a robot has been shown doing most of the task somewhere: 24% in a purpose-built cell. 0.24 of 3, the 410th highest of the 923 jobs.
- Not physical 21%
- No robot shown 55%
- In a purpose-built cell 24%
Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. The robot behind each rated task is under the task below.
The tasks
Sorted by . 19 tasks from .
| Task | Kind | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Organize and conduct age-appropriate recreational activities, such as games, arts and crafts, sports, walks, and play dates.Done daily by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating. | 14% | 1.1 h25 min to 2.1 h | Stays with people | |
| Teach and perform age-appropriate activities, such as lap play, reading, and arts and crafts, to encourage intellectual development of children.Done several times a day by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating. | 11% | 38 min17 min to 1.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Model appropriate social behaviors and encourage concern for others to cultivate development of interpersonal relationships and communication skills.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 10% | 25 min13 min to 50 min | Stays with people | |
| Instruct and assist children in the development of health and personal habits, such as eating, resting, and toilet behavior.Done several times a day by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating. | 9% | 25 min8 min to 50 min | Stays with people | |
| Perform housekeeping and cleaning duties related to children's care.Done daily by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, Dishcraft Daily automated dish room (sold). Anthropic's rating. | 9% | 38 min17 min to 1.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Help prepare and serve nutritionally balanced meals and snacks for children.Done several times a day by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, Blendid / Jamba by Blendid kiosk (deployed). Anthropic's rating. | 8% | 33 min17 min to 1.1 h | Stays with people | |
| Remove hazards and develop appropriate boundaries and rules to create a safe environment for children.Done several times a day by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating. | 7% | 25 min13 min to 1.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Help develop or monitor family schedule.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 4% | 33 min13 min to 1.3 h | 100%Half by now | |
| Keep records of play, meal schedules, and bill payment.Done daily by most who do it. | 4% | 25 min8 min to 50 min | 100%Half by now | |
| Work with parents to develop and implement discipline programs to promote desirable child behavior.Done daily by most who do it. | 4% | 38 min17 min to 1.3 h | 100%Half by now | |
| Transport children to schools, social outings, and medical appointments.Done daily by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating. | 4% | 38 min17 min to 1.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Instruct children in safe behavior, such as seeking adult assistance when crossing the street and avoiding contact with unsafe objects.Done several times a day by most who do it. | 3% | 13 min4 min to 25 min | Stays with people |
Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.
Jobs that share skills with this one
From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Childcare Workers12% now, 12% by 2028
- Personal Care Aides10% now, 10% by 2028
- Home Health Aides7% now, 7% by 2028
- Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education24% now, 24% by 2028
- Child, Family, and School Social Workers32% now, 44% by 2028
- Education and Childcare Administrators, Preschool and Daycare41% now, 49% by 2028
Where this job works
The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.
Where the most of these jobs are
The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.
Questions about this job
- How much of the work of Nannies is within reach of AI now?
- An estimated 12% of the working time is within reach of AI models now and 12% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five. Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
- Which tasks of Nannies come within reach first?
- Weighted by the time each takes, the tasks with the most within reach now (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) are: Help develop or monitor family schedule (100% of the task's time now); Keep records of play, meal schedules, and bill payment (100% of the task's time now); and Work with parents to develop and implement discipline programs to promote desirable child behavior (100% of the task's time now).
- Which tasks of Nannies stay with people?
- Tasks that are people work or body work are not counted as within reach at any date. The largest: Organize and conduct age-appropriate recreational activities, such as games, arts and crafts, sports, walks, and play dates; Teach and perform age-appropriate activities, such as lap play, reading, and arts and crafts, to encourage intellectual development of children; and Model appropriate social behaviors and encourage concern for others to cultivate development of interpersonal relationships and communication skills. Together such tasks are about 88% of the working time.
- Do people already use AI for the work of Nannies?
- In the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled for May 2026, no reportable share went to this job's tasks. Anthropic's labor market measure puts the share of the job's tasks seen in real Claude use at work at 1%. These are measures of use, not of how much of the work AI could finish, and they cover Claude only.
- Can robots do the physical work of Nannies?
- Anthropic's robot exposure rating (September 2026) finds 79% of the working time is physical work, and that a robot has been shown doing most of the task, somewhere, for 24% of the working time. Its index is 0.24 of 3. One example: Dishcraft Daily automated dish room for "perform housekeeping and cleaning duties related to children's care". A robot shown somewhere is not one in every workplace; this site's own estimates still count no physical work as within reach.
- How is this estimated?
- From the 19 tasks O*NET lists for the occupation, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval and a share of the working time, each classed as desk, people or body work, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. Data checked November 10, 2026.
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