Skip to content
STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
Menu

Childcare Workers

Attend to children at schools, businesses, private households, and childcare institutions. Perform a variety of tasks, such as dressing, feeding, bathing, and overseeing play.

518,910 people do this job in the US. $34,980 a year.

now
14%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 17%
  • 0%
  • 83%
1%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 17% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 12%. Today's estimate: 14%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 4% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 6% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 7% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 7% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 12% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 14% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 24 tasks from .

TaskKind
Care for children in institutional setting, such as group homes, nursery schools, private businesses, or schools for people with disabilities.Done daily by most who do it. 29%3.3 h1.7 h to 6.7 hStays with people
Observe and monitor children's play activities.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 9%33 min17 min to 50 minStays with people
Organize and participate in recreational activities and outings, such as games and field trips.Done daily by most who do it. 6%1.7 h38 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Perform general personnel functions, such as supervision, training, and scheduling.Done daily by most who do it.6%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 h65%Half by now
Create developmentally appropriate lesson plans.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.5%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h77%Half by now
Identify signs of emotional or developmental problems in children and bring them to parents' or guardians' attention.Done daily by most who do it. 4%38 min17 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Maintain a safe play environment.Done daily by most who do it. 4%17 min8 min to 38 minStays with people
Support children's emotional and social development, encouraging understanding of others and positive self-concepts.Done daily by most who do it. 4%25 min13 min to 50 minStays with people
Read to children and teach them simple painting, drawing, handicrafts, and songs.Done daily by most who do it. 3%25 min13 min to 50 minStays with people
Perform general administrative tasks, such as taking attendance, editing internal paperwork, and making phone calls.Done daily by most who do it. 3%25 min13 min to 1.3 h100%Half by now
Organize and store toys and materials to ensure order in activity areas.Done daily by most who do it. 3%17 min8 min to 38 minStays with people
Regulate children's rest periods.Done daily by most who do it. 3%50 min25 min to 1.7 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).